im rereading capes early game posts and idt its him
they arent even bad
wtf was i thinking a week and a half ago
although the strength of capes townread on me is kind of adorable
although correct its maybe sleeping on my scum game a little too much? lol. give me at least a little fear so i can feel validated
me realizing that vca when the wolves are all dead early is kinda worthless
i find it... interesting that ender ended the day on cape after being so anti-newcomb at eod1? hm.
most people thought enders eod2 was outting for him so but i dont remember thinking that
if his eod is openwolfy i'd assume he doesnt leave vote on teammate unless he's very confident they dont go over tho
im actually more strongly believing cape is town the more i read
sleep:
were you intending on... acting different this game? like, just. did you put effort into Not Looking Like Gira at any point this game?
i should say uhh
i think a lot posts hk made are posts that kind of look like they were made to get townread off? and the solviong content is not that strong. cape feels like he keeps trying to analyze things, oftentimes he goes down dead ends but hes exploring a lot of paths. thats what im getting here
shrug
im vaguely rereading the game
now im remembering why i joined this. i expected to get deaded early to a 'splodey vest. sadge.
kinda wanna just speed run this and if I'm alive in F3 insta-vote the person I feel is most likely town.
I also haven't done any of the assigned reading. I'll do that tomorrow.
im liking my sleep vote more than i expected i would tbh
will sleep on it gn
that pun was not intended
lmao
ok, why each person can be town:
katze - this started out purely as a meta read. I reviewed Katzes wolf games I've seen/been in and in those games there's more self-depreciating humor, more self-votes, and more generalized shitposting than there is here. Not to say that there isn't any, but it's not as pronounced. From there I watched katze do actual work, make actual reads, and appear torn on where to go. Is all of that possible to be faked? Yeah, for sure it is. Katze is a fantastic wolf.
Dobby said yesterday that katze was playing exactly like they needed to play to win the game as wolf. I said I wasn't as sure. Then we chopped Cuth instead. All of that to say katze is town because this is vastly unlike any of the wolf games I've seen them bring, and they're doing a reasonable amount of solving while not being over the top.
Cape - reasonable associations with flipped wolves, was pushed rather vigorously by Ender, appears as lost as anyone.
Sleep - tbh fucked if I know. I don't actually have anything I can think of off the top of my head why Sleep would be town. That has to be rectified.
Dobby - Early on Ender when Ender didn't need to be bused, rarely appears on bad wagons, has shown willingness to re-evaluate strongly held positions.
Why each person can be a wolf:
Katze - has yet to vote a wolf (unconfirmed I guess but still with three dead wolves you'd think katze would have voted for one of them by mistake or something by now), mind changes often in ways that are unknowable at times, does not appear to have been strongly pushed by any wolves
Cape - Bit sheepy and bit stingy with the voting, like katze don't think they've voted a wolf yet. Some anti-associatives from dead wolves but could be distancing.
Dobby - This one I struggle with and basically the thought here is that dobby is playing exactly how they would need to in order to win the game as wolf. GTH the biggest indicator that dobby could be a wolf here is how quickly they shifted perspective on me after being gung-ho for the better part of 2 game days HK wolf a relatively brief conversation flipped the script and now dobby is one of my biggest defenders. If dobby is the wolf the play is to take me to F3 and have me vote with him. This read functionally doesn't exist till F3 though.
Sleep - Like with the reasons to town read again fucked if I know. Sleep has been a blind spot for me for basically the entire game and I've been letting everyone elses reads of Sleep do it for me.
tbh Sleep is where I'm going to focus my reading and attention today.
oh goodie can i do my spiel now?
ive been playing turbos with ladd for a few months now. im competent at scum. ladd generally respects my game enough that he wouldnt try to bus me on Day 1 when most people were townreading me for going after cape. you can go "yes he distanced with ender" but theres a difference between doing theater in the middle of the day and voting someone at the end of the day. (i wrongly wrote off ender because of this and i was naive! ladd has a spiel about not bussing but i didn't appreciate the difference). trying to put over a competent partner who isnt getting suspected is just bad play. and then ultimately if im getting bussed i push him back, i dont dumb flop onto newcomb at the last minute
in general i feel like the way i responded to ladd where i was increasingly suspicious of him and interrogating him abiout his read of cape is not what id do with a teammate and shows that i really thought i was onto something in how evasive he was bein with that read
furter from that: as scum here i would be plotting out path to victory. im sure you know how that goes. i have been generally townread but not TOP townread, i would be sitting in a good position. i would not need to upset the status quo. there would be no need for me to come in here and go "hey actually i think its hk" because now you dobby and cape are all giving me the stinkeye in response. i could easily win by taking the path of least resistance. im doing this because i think im onto something
counterpoint: you can't take both cape and I to F3 if you are the wolf. That relies on chopping katze today and NK dobby. So shifting to me, getting me across the line, and then NK either katze or dobby (most likely dobby tho lets be real) gives you an F3 of Cape, Katze, and you. That's a F3 you can win by going back to saying "man I was super wrong on HK but that means it just has to be Cape here" and literally nobody will blink.
admittedly cape has tailed off in the more recent parts of the game. dont know how much of that has to do with being overburderened with another game + the game being hard from his POV. certainly his weakest posting. however i still like his early game a great degree and think its better than what hes shown his scum game to be. i dont want to succumb to recency bias in my read there.
the way he handled the wagons on mont/cuth is kind of shady ig
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