I'll be home in an hour, I promise to be villagery then
okay i lied c u tomorrow
let visor be villagery tomorrow
i want him to have the time
okay for reals though i wanted to put down some OPINIONS
heres where im at:
i think achro posted 90% nonsense yesterday, similar to how he played in the last game, i didnt get a genuine sense from him that he was actively trying to put the game together to be solved. sure he posted shit that seemed like it could be solving, but take the whole picture of his play and i think it really comes across as just pushing people in different direction to careen like a pool break into others and mess with the thread cohesion
thats what he has done this game, he is a solving vacuum, and his read list kills of ladd -> cape was just nonsense. old mate is just a wolf and yall scared of getting yelled at to kill him
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i thought katze posted like katze, didn't really see anything particularly out of the ordinary, didnt read many of their posts to be fair but nothing struck me as super indicative, which is probably just fine
thought winston posted pretty well, obv he knows all he has to do is rustle up one of those villagery sounding tumour like posts and we'd village read him, but i think him constantly returning to the katze well was pretty natural and if hes doing that to play it to me, then fair play. def dont want to kill.
insomnia i freely admit is a light read, but i just kinda like some of the things they are saying and the way they come across. yolo.
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dya still kinda wolfy iyam
uh who else is left. cuth. yeah, idk i dont get cuth this game.
ender - shrug, we will see, not going to waste any time thinking about his alignment today
silverkeith - i understand the potential there, i could be convinced, none of his posting really made any waves to me
benneh and taffy - bennehs posts... i havent really read into them a lot but they have seemed fine. taffy im still reserving judgemnt on
regardless, my top two wolfreads are achro and probably dya
benneh where are you at on dya and achro pls
i also think a player like achro prob shouldve recognised cape wasnt acting in a way that wolves do when they are going down on d1
i mean, i picked up on it and i wolfread cape earlier so i dont get it
in hindsight i wish i uh said something instead of just pushing cuth instead but yolo (also i blame ladd)
would also appreciate thoughts on cuth/taffy/sk too
kind of my blind spots
oh also, glad you didnt get laid off benneh, unless you wanted to, in which case sorry that happened
dya >rand v
after we both confronted eachother i think we both kind of got into the game a bit more and i feel like that helped me get a more solid read on them. think the way they came around on me felt natural too. like, i think the way they initially wolf read me makes sense given how i was playing a little more watch and wait most of day 1 and when i decided to out more of my reads and engage with thread more, i think dya picking up on that and being open to it is prob just villa indicative imo
think the way they came out today pushing sk also feels like quintessential day 2 v!dya (helps i agree with the sk read). kinda matter of fact/to the point
also kinda just trust ladd when he and i agree on dya
achro i have nfi sorry bud
so if you think sk is a wolf, who else stands out to you?
wya on cuth?
taffy looks a lot better. their return to thread was really good imo and i think i prob misinterpreted their initial 'case' on achro. feels like they showed back up and started explaining more but it didnt feel manufactured or forced and just seemed genuine.
cuth eod felt a little rough from what i remember but i wanna reread. i could see him being a blindspot but i liked him a lot early d1 and agree that his frustration felt real and probly villa
sks eod sucks and is probly a wolf my dude
i'm digesting kat's wall post
trying to sort out the kat/visor/achro triumvirate
not that theres anything linking you 3 i just am not sure how i feel about yall today
winston too actually
none of sks posts did anything for me, so i'm not against that, but thinking past that, where would you go next
assuming wolf
for beter or worse i pretty much agree with you on insom fwiw
dont feel like i have a great reason to v read him but i just ... don't wolf read him either lol
Thread cohesion killed a villager yesterday. Why would I be pro thread cohesion when I posted several times that I had a sinking feeling about things? This feels like two paragraphs of saying nothing substantial to me. I... gave reasons for all my reads. Like what.i think achro posted 90% nonsense yesterday, similar to how he played in the last game, i didnt get a genuine sense from him that he was actively trying to put the game together to be solved. sure he posted shit that seemed like it could be solving, but take the whole picture of his play and i think it really comes across as just pushing people in different direction to careen like a pool break into others and mess with the thread cohesion
thats what he has done this game, he is a solving vacuum, and his read list kills of ladd -> cape was just nonsense. old mate is just a wolf and yall scared of getting yelled at to kill him
If you're town you need to start participating more and asking questions if you don't understand where I am coming from because you sitting back and trying to read me without the aid of discussion with me isn't it.
Working on a post about other things but saw this,, @Visor
I... never voted Cape yesterday, and had him as town most of the day with the caveat that Cape made me look very stupid recently as a wolf day 1, but my actions showed that I thought he was unlikely to flip wolf even with me being a little gun shy about screaming it from the roof tops and moreso I was discussing the thread state which led to this.
Point on the doll where the Achro didn't say enough about how the Cape wagon was very problematic, Visor.
I am now questioning if you read even half my posts. Which I don't know if that's wolfy or villagery but it is one of them.
Anyway, that being said good morning friends and foes alike.
I don’t really mind dying today if you all can’t gel with my world view, it’ll probably make each side happier and it is just a fun, chill game after all.
Anyway I found the Ladd kill a little odd at first, not that I would tunnel him or anything - that was mostly to reflect back on after the fact and see how people moved around others - but he was undoubtedly the leader yesterday who sent us into the rocks of a Cape kill.
So, why kill Ladd? I think it is either something else he posted, or what he would have thought after reflecting on the fact Cape was town over night. So I’m going to put my Ladd cap on and try to go over the thread a bit before I have to leave, not sure how much I will get done.
Yesterday Taffy didn’t like my insecurity, but that was just me reminding myself that I don’t know a lot of you and to make sure my processes are sound.
Cape(4): ladd, insomnia, ender, katze
insomnia(3): SK, Achro, Cuth
Ender(2): benneh, Winston
Cuth(2): Visor, Taffy
ladd(1): Cape
Sk(1): Dya
Ladd is gone, Cape is gone, and Ender is poisoned. My first thought is this could make insomnia/katze town and the people I am looking for are those that allowed the game state to drift to Cape all day yesterday rather than those that voted him out. A hands off approach, if you will. But I don’t think it’d ever be both Insomnia and Katze with those choice of NK/Poison, although wolves have surprised me before. I say that with… I guess 85% confidence, so some room for error but I think I am right on it.
So in total I need to find 3 scum in 9 names
Katze
Insomnia
SK
Cuth
Benneh
Winston
Visor
Taffy
Dya
And my starting premise is Katze/Insomnia are unlikely to be w/w. Alright then.
My first town core slot is going to Taffy. 95% confidence on this one. For starters, I know personally my ability to perceive intent on who votes me has a stellar track record, I’d give that 90% by itself, but the thread state of poking Taffy a lot over what I thought was an interesting and towny way of voting me brings it up another 5%. I know they are a skilled player, so I leave myself open to being fooled as we haven’t played together before and that’s where my social reads are weakest, but as of this moment I think I’d just lose to Taffy for that play + the thread state around them.
Which that alone now makes my job reading day 1 kind of a lot easier. I now have 5 villagers in my head that I can see how the other 8 suspects interacted with to see who pushed pro-town agenda, who pushed anti-town agenda, who coasted along, and who is unclear even with this.
Cool, that’s a lot of data. But let’s try to add at least 1-2 more likely town to this list to make it even better.
I liked Cuth in general yesterday but soured in real time in EOD, however if Ender is willing to let that go so am I, who am I to OMGUS for another man? So I’ll put Cuth in my town pile.
I said this was a town post yesterday. Now I am not so sure in the cold light of day because it might fit into wolf agenda. Keeping Cape as the focus by having them in their list of five, but setting up possible kills on SK/Dya later on. I think this isn’t a post a wolf would typical make if they were paired with either dya or SK, but I say that with about 70% confidence so a lot of room to be wrong, but I’d still be inclined to believe it. Now that I am thinking about it after a night’s sleep I don’t really understand the reasoning behind not pushing someone you think has been slightly wolfy in favor of letting the thread drift to Cape as town. You said SK and dya were at the bottom of your reads and SK was nullish which meant that cape and ender were nullish at worst too, what led you to being OK with voting one of them out but not dya or SK @nebjiamn
(This isn’t loaded I don’t understand)
Dya I warmed back on due to these posts:
Wolves typically complete assignments as asked, Katze asked for 5 names but said less was ok, and Dya took the opportunity to give less. Not hugely confident, but a note.
I felt yesterday this was like me - concerned about moving the thread. There was a lot of dead air around Cape and I am presuming Taffy yesterday, so when Dya had cuth listed because the thread wasn’t being moved I really liked that comment a lot. It felt like a non-obvious mindmeld of concern for the state of things. I didn’t feel pandered to or manipulated, although I don’t know dya’s complete wolf range it is enough for me to slot them into my town pile for now.
Ender (Poisond)
Taffy
Cuth
Dya
Current town pile, leaving me with:
Katze
Insomnia
SK
Benneh
Winston
Visor
3 wolves, 3 villagers. I do not believe Katze/Insomnia are paired.
I paused for a second to wonder what Visor is even talking about, and now my head is back to hurting.
SK probably has wolf equity. I was running strats at EOD and was handwaving people as towny/wolfy to try to see where the chaos led, my town read on SK was pretty weak tbh.
I will leave it here for now as I am overdoing it I think still, but my direction is pretty clear atm. Go through the thread and see how the above six moved around the other 7 players and try to find the 3 most pockety/predatory among them while keeping an eye out for signs of being partnered.
Cool.
you didn't do anything
sure you 'said' things but of actual action, i certainly felt nothing from you
bottom of my reads because i had villa-ish reads on the rest of the player list but they were not below my 3 primary wolf reads who were taffy/ender/cape
i was far more interested in pursuing ender and taffy at the time of the post. as day moved on taffy felt more villagery on their return so i focused on ender
i'm not sure what i woulda done if i was a little more prsent at eod but c'est la vie and all
That's true. Can you walk me through what you think about the ladd kill, the ender poison, and what it means for your thoughts on the game as a whole? I'll check back in later but your list of 5 got rocked by things and you felt dya was more villagery after. I saw you thinking SK could be shady, which is a take I am considering.
You showed an interest in Visor/me/(katze too) earlier, what do you think about Visor's sentiment that I did 'nothing' to stop Cape from going over? Do you think this angle of attack on me about my positioning on Cape is more consistent with w!visor or v!visor?
I have a terrible confession to make...
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i think ladd died cuz he would’ve re-eval’d and to put more sus on taffy
Would that I were a wolf, so I could confess there, among friends, instead of here in the unforgiving glare of the public eye.
But...
Looking back over eod, I realised that I got mixed up between you and ender, such that I thought it was him who had made the obviously nonsense cop claim.
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