I buy Taffy's claim pretty well rn.
I think my POE is pretty much Maple/Lissa/Ladd/(Arctic)
I've put my Arctic stuff out there, if no one agrees with me I'll shrug and drop it for now because I don't have any way I can state it more persuasively and if everyone is saying I'm wrong then maybe I'm wrong.
Ladd gets added because I don't really feel like he's progressed in a way that makes me think town, but it's like ~not a strong read.
I still think Maple's narrow focus/small footprint EOD is very wolfy. I will happily champion this.
Lissa is just someone I think has been wolfy over-all. But probably is in the Arctic treatment in terms of at least two or three people have said what I was suspecting is just normal Lissa. That being said I don't think their EOD was great and they haven't done anything I find super towny so they can exist in a POE.
If I'm misclearing anyone atm it's probably in Dya (Because my ability to read them has always been kinda shoddy. I think I'm improving in the last 2/3 games we've played but wouldn't shock me if I've read em wrong.) or Waza (Because the snow leopard is tricksy and speaks sparkly words. I've definitely been wooed by them before so I tend to keep some tinfoil in the closet.)
Actually maybe Benneh is someone I've not thought about.
I'll reread after I sleep.
I thought your read was based on one thing that you just didn't want to let go? I don't really hate the things that you're actually calling out here like, on principle, but I'm more confused about why you now have this whole case on the rest of my behaviour when it was just one thing you didn't like
Wdym when your bombs go off? You don't have to kill me, do you?
I.. am not sure how much I believe this. Mainly because if you believed there was anticlaim then why would you blatantly soft in your first post? And why believe there was anticlaim in the first place? Secondly because in a 15'er, unless there are 4 wolves (which just based on how the game vibes as towny, I don't think is likely) with 3 wolves there is almost no way town has KP and if they do then wolves absolutely do too so... where is it? For that reason I don't really consider your claim in itself AI and I'm instead going off of your behaviour around it, and the anticlaim stuff + voting me and dipping is just.. kinda hard for me to reconcile as genuine. But I do like how you brought light to the fact I am probably a PR today
Since you have doused me, yeah, I am a PR. Specifically I'm the even night version of Sunbae's role. I was not informed about any anticlaim. So I will in fact self-resolve and you should not kill me. Especially because it does not get us a ML
I'm not at all convinced you're town but I feel like I've been outplayed either way, weirdly. Claiming to have ttargeted specifically me after I already claimed I wasn't a PR has put me in a pretty bad position (lmao) because.. if you are a wolf planning to use your role leashed to whoever town wants you to kill then killing me is a perfect way of killing a villager without being outted, because I was in everyone's PoE already
In a closed setup without a flipped protective, this isn't an unreasonable take. But in the context of this game I think that you arguing for Taffy to ignite me is pretty wolfy. We aren't getting a doc save this game, clearly, so we aren't getting any MLs back. For this reason, killing me doesn't gain a ML, it is basically no different from just voting me out today. And so you are basically advocating that we waste a ML on me, someone you think is town.
I am kinda coming around to you being a wolf if Taffy isn't. I think Visor was villagery today and your responses to him felt lawyery
You recognize that a town protective is dead so we aren't getting a ML back and thus killing me is effectively the same as voting me out and yet you think I am a villager and you are still advocating for her to kill me
We can probably put this guy in the bin too
--
For the same reason, but taking the opposite stance, I think ladd is town now, regardless of what Taffy is. I'm not considering him anymore
i don't think you understand mechanics at all, like even a little bit, so i won't engage with you on why killing you when you were claimed not-pr was potentially correct
anyway, you should explain why i'm ever playing eod the way i did while postcapped. not for me, but because I think if you reread eod with the knowledge that i didn't want you or taffy or sunbae or annika to die anymore, which is apparent in my votes IMO, i should literally be the most obvious villager in the game lol
@Totally not Taffy can you claim whether you ignite when you die or if you are able to choose when to ignite
If it is the latter then do not ignite me, obviously. I can prevent you dying tonight if I don't get roleblocked, which can give you another douse
I hope you can clarify this sooner than before eod when people have used up all of their posts
And while I'm here, given my claim, I want other people to make it clear that Taffy should not ignite me if they have a choice and should be treated as outted if she does. Because wolf!Taffy using this role tailored to town and taking away 1 ML while just shrugging it off as an "oopsie well he was POE" anyway when my claim is resolving is the exact avenue she can take here as a wolf
if there is a misclear of the somewhat universal TRs, i think it is in the dya/pzelda realm and not the annika/stetts. i don't know how much i think that's true, but i think its more true than the wolves being in like visor? maybe lissa? idk will think
thinking about waza's own eod vis a vis what i just said @ arcy, i would probably add him into the near locks too cause of the way he was unvoting to communicate. i initially weighted his vote on taffy more than those, but i think his answer was pretty good and i believe it so i think his actions leading up to the vote outweigh the vote itself
tbc i think dya has been towny when available, but i think ladd oversells the post about sunbae they made.
dya is a killer who pockets and pushes friends like anyone else as wolf. i think ladd coming to the conclusion dya is town off that post but being sus of their initial posting is quite weird iyam. they were findable as town based off how they entered, not how they talked about sunbae after voting him
I don't see how what I am saying is wrong. I am open to seeing your perspective if you can explain to me what makes it optimal to kill me there, given that it is for all intents and purposes using up one of our MLs on someone you townread. But it's difficult to engage where I am jut being told I am wrong and can't understand why.
I am not super interested in what happened at EOD anymore. With an afk wolf being wagoned and neither me nor Taffy dying (regardless of what Taffy is), it is much more plausible to me that the wolves were townsiding in the latter part of the day. Either by defending the alternatives to Rask, voting Rask, or both. You cannot make a convincing case for anyone being mafia based on EOD except for Lissa (if Taffy is a wolf, but if she isn't, then ???) so clearing you based on this doesn't seem sound to me.
And with the dead weight cut after day 1, wolves are presumably not looking to lose another. And if they did in fact actively take part in killing Rask, they are explicitly looking to use that cred up, which is why you and Maple advocating for Taffy to kill me rang alarm bells. I'm not sure it's very likely both of you are wolves, however. So I'll have to think
im highly tilted due to non-game stuff and its really affecting my wim rn
imagine i get a second wind later in the phase
looking at rask's role again, 3p arso seems entirely plausible itg, thats a lot of util to counter 1 role
But Benneh I really want to plant more bombs
You are correct it might be the mechanically optimal play but several ppl have now said they think Arctic is town and well, I'd rather let him live if he is
I very much enjoy the input thank you, that's what I meant with "crowdsourcing" my targets
I do think Maple is town but both you and Stett are stronger players than I am
otoh I expect that if Maple's town she's very much become part of wolves' wincon atp so I'm a bit leery of the two strong pushes and neither of you are exploring many other options I feel
Taffy (5)
i feel like you have claimed the even night protective and you think that this was some revelatory insight that this role could exist
so the idea you are proposing that me and maple are wolfy for suggesting using town killing power is correct because a town protective flipped and we won't get a mislim back is wrong for those of us that are mechanically inclined and paying attention, ducy?
i won't even go into why this is correct from the point of view that taffy is a potentially confirmed town who has killing utility and you are (were) not lock clear at the time of those posts, so even if i am townleaning you, i cannot town clear you, and yes, even IF we didn't get a mislim back, that is still often correct because town used KP going to waste is... a waste.
i think your judgement here is biased and clouded by the fact that you are the other town protective and taffy's alleged douse. you act like i have been advocating for you to still be ignited since you re-claimed and i have not. you specifically claimed VT like 2 pages ago, or did you forget?
i think its very likely a much simpler: the wolves were afk or pushing annika/taffy/you. its literally that simple.I am not super interested in what happened at EOD anymore. With an afk wolf being wagoned and neither me nor Taffy dying (regardless of what Taffy is), it is much more plausible to me that the wolves were townsiding in the latter part of the day. Either by defending the alternatives to Rask, voting Rask, or both. You cannot make a convincing case for anyone being mafia based on EOD except for Lissa (if Taffy is a wolf, but if she isn't, then ???) so clearing you based on this doesn't seem sound to me.
And with the dead weight cut after day 1, wolves are presumably not looking to lose another. And if they did in fact actively take part in killing Rask, they are explicitly looking to use that cred up, which is why you and Maple advocating for Taffy to kill me rang alarm bells. I'm not sure it's very likely both of you are wolves, however. So I'll have to think
rask was a wolf, he was afk
ladd fits as a wolf this game, he was afk
maple fits as a wolf this game, they were pushing annika
ender fits as a wolf this game, he was pushing you
i don't understand why you think the wolves had to be in the actives or the ones actually driving wagons. it is much more likely eod just plays out the way it did because towns were active and defending other towns before settling on a literal last minute cfd on rask that only a few of us could have possibly reacted to
When I saw Rask flipped wolf I remembered this conversation Benneh and Lissa had (I've truncated them to only the relevant parts)
And I think I misunderstood what Benneh was saying bc to me "vigilance" means "watchfulness" and therefore "being protective of someone" and Happy was not protective of Rask at all (all Happy posts about Rask up till that point in spoiler)
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
But now having gathered them all to make this post I assume the vigilance referred to something like being very focused on something (in this case the zero-poster)?
Anyway this is a lead-in to ask @nebjiamn and @Lissa why they aren't pushing Happy today for the over the top TWTBAW "I'm bussing Rask" joke three times and then voting there EoD but switching off when the wagon actually takes off.
Taffy (6)
i grilled him about that already and my thoughts are in my large post. i found his answer satisfactory and after pondering things some more i'm really not all that concerned about him because the rest of his actions mostly make up for that.
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
rask's role + sunbae's role + likely arctic's role == a scenario where the town KP and protectives work together to ensure wolves can't really die but town detonations always go off
we are probably exactly in a world where town and wolves have utility and the game is augmented by a swingy but overall low-output KP in the form of a 3rd party who is truly neutral
fuckin a, cool setup gemma (unironic!!!!!!!!!!)
hm.
@didistetter @annika help me out here. remind me where you are on dya and read this from dya, does it feel genuine?
2 things that stick out to me:
-dya got defensive about not being at eod but that was a throwaway comment in my readslist. this is prob nothing but shrug
-does the ladd relief really track to you? that feels sketch to me. especially with how the hedge on ladd is prefaced in the first post?
vote: ladd
"Each night, target a player (you may self-target). If they are the same alignment as you, defuse any bombs strapped to them. You are told when you successfully defuse a bomb."
@nebjiamn i've been kinda rolling this over and the feedback part is interesting to me. Maf would realistically just be defusing the other wolves, but the feedback part is kinda ?
cause like you can argue that feedback is to counter the redirectors: but the redirectors function like a bodyguard: so they would normally be shielding town—which would be unlikely to interfere with maf diffusing other maf.
Ig i could see a 3p bomber buuuuut that would basically, with the rask role, make 3p a pseudo extra kp that only can target town, so their wincon seems kinda scuffed with an ungated mafia firefighter
idk villy makes more sense for me i think?
Villy arso, odd night bodyguard, even night bodyguard, maybe a tracker
+ mafia diffuser, maybe rolecop, maybe a gated kp
idk gemma setups, but 3 maf, town arso and a 3p seems a bit much lol
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