
Originally Posted by
Visor
lemme put down some thoughts before eod, probably gonna save the rest of my posts for that
1. Raskolnikov
3. Sunbae
4. ladd
5. EnderWiggin
12. Maple
13. Lissa
Lissa: lissa is a funny one, if you look at d1 in isolation you could convince me she is a wolf - i came out pushing her a bit late d1 and early d2 in part because i don't think she really kicked on to anything - she felt like a sidelines/commentary character at that point. going into d2 i was expecting some heat there and she played in a way that is close to my heart - for the last while i have been very busy and it has been hard for me to play ww, sometimes i play a game and i just cant get a handle on it because i am not able to get invested or really absorb what people are posting. but occasionally i try to just focus in on one read that i am confident in v or w and push that because that is the only lifeline i have found that i can cling onto. sometimes i will do these things in mashes too when the game is too fast for my advanced years lol. when i saw her push on jan, i felt that kind of emotion, even if it isn't necessarily what lissa was doing, but because i have been there so many times over the last couple years that i saw myself there in what she was doing and it made me step back a bit and reconsider my push.
you could absolutely make the argument she bussed - the typical lines like one strong read, no real wavering, etc. i think (as i mentioned earlier) that holistically theres an argument for it and lissa is definitely canny enough to pull off the bus, but on an emotional level for me despite her d1, it is hard for me to get over seeing that line of play and coming away not village reading her. i think her play today has also similarly had an emotive level to it that she FEELS she is clear, particularly noting her bite back to rask earlier today. if shes a wolf shes fuckin me over like that thing game, which is unfortunate lol, but shes played well.
Maple: I have answered this one multiple times and I've reread manti a few times now trying to see something different but I just am not seeing it. I see someone who (probably?) doesn't have the time to play but it is still checking in to make posts out of a sense of obligation. I don't think that is necessarily wolfy in and of itself, but i think the fact that manti has not had.... any real reads? any real stances? i think most of their responses are some variation of omgus (either real or jokingly). I know manti can have a wide range and they can certainly play like this as both alignments but overall I just can't find the sheriff manti in there, or a spark of inspiration or anything that says even though i don't have time for the game, i still 'felt this thing'. it looks like a wolf on a team that doesn't exactly have time for the game, and their partners probably don't either.
Ender: i've talked earlier about the lines regarding w/v re shooting jan and i am doing my best generally to ignore it at this point because it is a lot of WIFOM. i think his entry d1 was poor and was (to use lazy terminology) a kind of wolfy catchup. i don't mind him being focused on me d2, i get it, if someone is pushing you like that and they're wrong (or at least you have to affect that they are wrong) it makes sense, especially with some of his lines using the kind of emotive language that felt like actual frustration in some parts towards me. he has been hard to disentangle from ladd because of how ladd handled him but i think i agree with the points sunbae made yesterday and that it is a sloppy play if w/w, but if nobody has the time, sloppy plays are sometimes all that results. regardless, i think he posted well at sod (and then not at all apparently iirc?) and answered my questions in a quick enough fashion that i have some pause here. theres a lot of thoughts about potential lines re wolf/villa. i can see the potential gambit (there's a line where wolves are something like (ladd/maple) and ender where nobody has any time and they are just doing a gambit to win). in isolation i still don't like his d1 posts, his posts about maple are okay i guess. i need to ruminate more on his d2 i think
ladd: talked about a fair bit, really hated his ender progression, felt unnatural to me (especially going from such strong wording choices), and then i think today (which is probably just my confirmation bias) i think the way he has framed his arguments and searched for things that have.... like a kernel of truth surrounded by a nugget of shit to throw to get potential heat off him. i thought d1 he actually posted p well for the most part up until the ender posts - when he said he wolf read ender i was like hot damn, maybe there is something here, and then i wake up to the flip and that was just bizarre. i don't really care about his posts re waza and i don't really know what they are expected to achieve - it kind of just feels like grasping at something to hopefully hit a convincing chord. theres a wild world where its ender/ladd and maple is just straight up punting the game but that sounds awful lol. i think that individually some of the posts he has made today has actually been ok, it is hard to weigh against a collective though.
Sunbae: sunbae is in that category of players i will usually refrain from making a strong read early on unless i actually have a strong read just because i think it clutters the thread sometimes and what use is there to saying someone is ok sometimes lol. i know ladd pointed out the jan read stuff, but if you go back and read that its not a hard defence its just him putting out there that he has a personal read on jan. when i asked him about that he couldn't even explain it. which on one hand is convenient if wolfing together lol, but on the other it doesn't provide a huge level of protection. its also a strong read to commit to so early and if you are going to go that route, i would have expected more force in the midday of d2 to push the kill into a different direction, you could've got me killed, lissa killed, maybe rask, there were other options out there to make that push on if you wanted to commit to that line, but also you can turn around at that point as well. its hard to point to a specific flaw in sunbaes posting and say that is the gotcha or thats where he slipped. i've poked and prodded around a bit but at the end of the day i just haven't found anything that tells me that sunbae is wolfing in a way i feel confident in expressing. to me i can see the progression of his thoughts throughout the game, including how he came to the rask/me reads and the ender/ladd read i thought was quite good and turned around my thinking there. similar to lissa i feel like i could make reasons for him to be a wolf, but i just don't feel like he is.
rask: man this one is tough for me. back in the day i could read rask really well, but i think we have both changed a fair bit over the last couple years and even speccing some games of rask his playstyle as both alignments has evolved a fair bit. i think his d1 is just not good - i have said this multiple times and i think the way he approached me was really wolfy. he has been weirdly super transparent since then about his thought process and indeed stepping back and trying to reassess me and turning around his read there, which i mean its all you can ask for right? if hes a villager he corrected his mistake and got to the right read with a decent progress of listening to others takes and adjusting accordingly. i feel like today i felt a struggle from him, where he was almost like a sinking sailor grasping for that life ring things, trying to find the winning line to get out of here before things get worse. that kind of feeling makes me think that everythign else aside, he might just be a villager who has just had every wrong read p much. if rask is a wolf and gets out of my grip like he did in that fucking giraffe board game imma be sad though, and i really dont want to lose to rask wolf because he will send me reminders every three months lmao. when i compare his posting to ladd and maple today he feels erratic, he feels like he doesn't have answers and i hope to god that is correct lol.
it is possible i am townreading a bus, or process over results (which isnt necessarily good for good players lol) or what ahve you, but right now i am not able to move past where i am, i have read and reread multiple times
c'est la vie, thats where i am.
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