Sorry friendo but i think thats a lot of assumption when the explanations could easily be "for fun" or simply "to send ender deep"

I think jan/lissa look unaligned from super early on (d1) and lissa pushed jan in a moment where there was no need to as a wolf. Their posting since show the mindset of a villager who thinks they are clear and yesterday they clearly had a lingering paranoia that imo only villagers are able to show as subtly as lissa did

I get thats maybe not the best explanation but in the end they are just a villager posting like a villager imo