I've noticed that AI ships in a blockaded port seem to frequently manage to escape past my cordon, meaning that I have to break the blockade to go chasing.
Its a pain in the ass.
Blockaded ships should have to do battle with the blockading fleet before they can escape.
Actually what I think is happening is that the AI does attack but then withdraws & thus get moved away.
That being the case, there should instead be a high chance that they withdraw into the port not away.
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