In order to be profitable the cost of oil has to be over 35 dollars a barrel for shale oil to be worth refining. We have passed that price long ago. Our problem is more one of not building any new refineries not a lack of fossil fuels. We will have a new source of fuel I have no doubt long before we run out of fossil fuels.Not to mention that the shale oils energy required to acquire and refine is quite high compared with the energy that it provides as a petrol. Shale oil is definitly an option energy wise, just not a wise energy option.
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