Quote Originally Posted by lars573
So I made a wild and erronious estimate, give me a warning them.

Any way the point I was making still stands. The PRC has only 1 brigade of marines. To take Taiwan they need at least a division or 2 of them. They have no capacity to transport the 200000 troops to take and hold Taiwan that they would need. They have no aircraft carriers, so any kind of air support would need to come from the main land. They don't have the destroyers or cruisers needed to escort and cover the troops ships from US forces of the 16th fleet based in Japan. Most of these things are however being planned. And will be deployed in the next decade or so.
I don't think I'd speak with any tone of certainty about what the PLA has and does not have, were I you. It's not as though they're going to announce they have 2 divisions of combat ready marines at their disposal once they get them. This is one of those often forgotten lessons of WWII when everyone thought they knew exactly what Germany's capabilities were, and then, surprise surprise, SHAZAM!