I'd love it if we won this test and I think we have a good chance, though the Australians did get very lucky last night with the rain disrupting play. That could change everything, since their batsmen will have to come out one less time fresh. An early wicket or too should see England win this innings, but if the top order is allowed to linger too long or if we see another tail-wag then it could go wrong.

Whatever happens we mustn't lose this test. Only once has a country not lost the Ashes after losing the first 2 tests.