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  1. #1
    Alienated Senior Member Member Red Harvest's Avatar
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    Default Re: Hypocracy

    Quote Originally Posted by Gawain of Orkeny
    Baloney. Are you telling me groups like Greenpeace and the Seirra club are rightwing organizations? Is it the right who opposes more drilling. Is it they who oppose building new refineries and nuclear plants.Lets have a little intellectual honesty here shall we.
    Ok, I'll give you some brutal honesty. This seems to have gone so far over your head that it is comical. You still don't get it. Refineries aren't the issue (We can and do add capacity as we need it. The lack of a big gap between refined products and oil refutes the refinery bottleneck theory.) Opposing drilling isn't it either, drilling our way out doesn't stand up to scrutiny. You are busy chasing wild geese rather than looking at the problem with intellectual honesty. The easy to extract (and refine) oil is being depleted faster than it can be replaced, meanwhile global demand has accelerated.

    Man speaking of hypocracy. Hows that? You mean weve been using your policy for a longtime. It has led to the higher prices and thats the point. Come gentlemen at least admit its hypocrital of the left to complain that Bush has caused oil prices to rise when one, they want higher prices and two they are the cause of it and three they continue to limit supply through legislation.
    Considering the Republicans have had control for several years and have set the "energy policy" without input from the other side who they clearly snubbed, we'll just label this theory: MYTH BUSTED. Myopia, that's the problem. Consumers of all political affiliations think they gave some Constitutional guarrantee of cheap gas, somewhere in the Bill or Rights perhaps. Short sighted thinking has been the norm and political leadership plays to that. Those presently in charge are doing a great deal to illustrate the evils of short term thinking. Look at oil, look at Iraq, look at the national debt, look at the trade deficit, look at health care costs.

    By the way, it is spelled "hypocrisy."
    Rome Total War, it's not a game, it's a do-it-yourself project.

  2. #2
    The very model of a modern Moderator Xiahou's Avatar
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    Default Re: Hypocracy

    Quote Originally Posted by Red Harvest
    Ok, I'll give you some brutal honesty. This seems to have gone so far over your head that it is comical. You still don't get it. Refineries aren't the issue (We can and do add capacity as we need it. The lack of a big gap between refined products and oil refutes the refinery bottleneck theory.) Opposing drilling isn't it either, drilling our way out doesn't stand up to scrutiny. You are busy chasing wild geese rather than looking at the problem with intellectual honesty. The easy to extract (and refine) oil is being depleted faster than it can be replaced, meanwhile global demand has accelerated.
    Hey professor (or should I say Chicken Little?), maybe you need the lesson, not Gawain - I'll provide some for you.

    from MSNBC
    Traders are concerned about any potential disruption, however small it may be, because of slim unused refinery capacity. Last year’s Hurricane Ivan damaged Gulf facilities and forced a severe dip in output for several months.

    Analysts say this fear is likely to linger and lend support to prices, which are at least 50 percent higher than a year ago. On an inflation-adjusted basis, oil prices would need to hit about $90 a barrel to match the highs of 25 years ago.
    Oil prices are effected by refinery capacity and your evidence about oil inventory vs gasoline is total nonsense because when there is a refining bottleneck, business will not keep blindly buying and stockpiling oil that they can't use- particularly when it's at near record prices. But then, I guess Im not a wizened economist like yourself....

    Here is an article by economist Mike Moffat that addresses your tired 'sky is falling' approach to oil markets.
    "Don't believe everything you read online."
    -Abraham Lincoln

  3. #3
    Alienated Senior Member Member Red Harvest's Avatar
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    Default Re: Hypocracy

    Quote Originally Posted by Xiahou
    Hey professor (or should I say Chicken Little?), maybe you need the lesson, not Gawain - I'll provide some for you.
    There was nothing in either link of note, they were both facile. The MSNBC link was a short term price retreat. SOOOO??? Are you saying this is some sort of indication that oil is overpriced by t $30/bbl or what? It has zero relevance. Instead, it provides a perfect example of your myopic horizon for oil. It retreated from an all time high, and that is some sort of proof? LOL.

    The quote you made...care to explain how oil price doubled and refined products too, if refining is the real culprit? You can't, it defies basic economic principles. If refining was the real limit in the U.S. then U.S. gas would skyrocket, but global oil prices would not. Econ 101. You are looking at a small segment of the market, and making an erroneous projection. The seasonal run up is normal, I've been watching it for years, but not off a base line that is more than DOUBLE what it was 1 or 2 years ago.

    If you want to learn something, go look at global crude supply projections. They show current "excess capacity" as about 1% of the total usage (and prices indication that this projection is optimistic.) Refining is at ~95% of capacity typically. Do the math... Refining excess is about 5 times that of production.

    Your link to Moffat is particularly amusing as he fails to discuss the inelasticity of energy demand. He should get his money back on that Econ 101 course as he can't seem to apply it in the real world. In the real world to cut back energy demand by a few percent prices shoot through the roof on the short term scale.
    Rome Total War, it's not a game, it's a do-it-yourself project.

  4. #4
    The very model of a modern Moderator Xiahou's Avatar
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    Default Re: Hypocracy

    Quote Originally Posted by Red Harvest
    The quote you made...care to explain how oil price doubled and refined products too, if refining is the real culprit? You can't, it defies basic economic principles. If refining was the real limit in the U.S. then U.S. gas would skyrocket, but global oil prices would not. Econ 101. You are looking at a small segment of the market, and making an erroneous projection. The seasonal run up is normal, I've been watching it for years, but not off a base line that is more than DOUBLE what it was 1 or 2 years ago.
    Again, I think you're the one 'in over your head' and these statements prove it. Save your condescension.
    Last edited by Xiahou; 08-27-2005 at 05:39.
    "Don't believe everything you read online."
    -Abraham Lincoln

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