Wow, Tribe, that was a damn fine answer. I don't agree on all points, but you make a good argument and your solution isn't a bad one.
Interesting degree of commonality here. I've suggested before that suppression needs a 10-1 ratio. Tribe's 450k speaks to that clearly. The real problem is getting 400+k of decent troops in country, even multi-national. Just how many could the NATO powers put in -- and lets face it, there will be no PLA or Russians showing up.
The easiest blend of the above mentioned is to establish three to seven "states" with their own local government and an overarching federal structure. Bicameral legislature would help this. I'd probably advocate two armed forces: a carabinieri-style heavy police force under the control of a multiple member supreme court and a national army directly responsible to the chief executive -- who should not be part of the legislature. The legislature balances this by having full control of the paychecks.
Problem with 3 truly separate "rump" states is the instant war with Turkey for one of them. That and the fact that the "ethnic" parties are almost as hodge-podged as they are in the Balkans.
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