I've seen that if you save before an autocalc'd battle, fight the battle, reload, and fight the battle again... the battle results will be different the second time.
However, this doesn't seem to happen with assassination attempts or spying. For example... i had an assassin with a 67% chance to kill a general. I saved before assassinating and failed... so I reloaded and tried again. I did this 5 times and all 5 times i got "assassin misses target". It is highly improbable that my assassin would miss all 5 attempts... so i've concluded that the game does not recalculate after loading a saved game... it just takes the results of the first attempt.
Is there any way to make the game recalculate assassination/spying after a save/reload? (Maybe closing the game... changing some config settings?)
what you can try is this:
MOVE the spy/assassin/merchant to someplace besides your target. THEN spy/kill/acquire again.
Since it has moved, the 'base' for its autocalc has change, and there is a chance that you will now succeed.
However, i recommend you try only for those 50% and above ones.
It is also a 'single' second chance thingy. i.e the fact that you moved to different places before spy/kill/acquire, does not change the second autocal, as far as i can determine. if you failed even after moving, you will continue to fail no matter where you moved.
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