Random Generator Bug?

[Snoil The Mighty]

Ok, started a new campaign as England since they start with several agent types and I could get to tracking results straight. I am starting turn 33. I have left the game loaded and running for over 48 hours straight, have not reloaded once. I also currently have several spots where I have recorded results from initial trials, so I can go back and try them again, just to check. The first crusade was just called so I thought I'd chime back in on how this is proceeding.

First things first, until I get something-anything-that can show me there's a bug specific to the random solution generator I have to assume it works and that's what my numbers are telling me. I can only track events that have specific success-failure chances so Dip actions are out of the calculations. Princesses do get some %chance missions on the marriage thing so I had a few of those mixed in. Mostly it's been spies of course., but merhcants have their fair share of incidents as well. A few priest vs. heretic actions. Only got assassins just recently and a few of them mixed in as well. The total number of incidents I have results for is now at 134 and counting. However, as a side note, 32 of the missions were 100% success rate (32/32 on those oddly enough) so it terms incidents with a stated chance of failure, it's at 102. I am using unmodded, unedited version purchased the day of release, patched to 1.1 version.

Current assessment- there is no bug that I have seen at this point but 102 incidents to track is not enough to warrant any conclusions. I have kept track of certain sets of numbers like the 93% and above missions. Have had 22 missions so far in this range (mostly new spies on a first mission @93% of course but there was a 95% merch mission and 2 other incidents higher than that but less than 100) and have failed 2 times. Both were spy missions. Kept track of what I call the coin-toss range too (Anything showing as 45-55%) where I am 8/19, a little low but certainly not out of order.

I am not calling anyone out, but I can report only what I see and I have yet to see a definitive piece of evidence that can reasonably claim to be a smoking gun, i.e.- something that says "See this result? This conclusively determines the random solution mechanics are bugged." In fact everything I have recorded so far indicates it is working perfectly and as advertised. I will continue to post results from this campaign as it continues since 102 is not enough of a sample but so far.... Adam and Jamie are saying 'This myth is busted'.