I wouldn't put good money on it at all. That top picture is how NOT to use pikes. Although you can't see it in that second picture, (i've been to the place it's from. The royal Armouries in Leeds, UK), the Pike points at the other end are all fairly close together in spite of how far the men are standing apart, (the guy holding one to the ground actually has a horse impailed on the other endI wouldnt put good odds agianst them stopping most soldiers with decent armour, shields and swords. Pikes were more of a solid block, best used against cavalry but infantry with shields can knock the spears aside, and then the pikemen are in trouble.). The reality is that the guy holding it over his head could have 10 guys behind him doing exactly the same and the guy holding it at waist level in front of him. A sheild can knock aside a few pikes. but 10+? I doubt it myself, (Bear in mind the pike point of the guy holding it over his head is drooping towards the ground so it's lower at the other end by quite some margin, and I suspect those pikes are MUCH thicker and stiffer than the real thing, (look at the droop on those in the top picture)). Also, remeber how heavy those pikes are, they wouldn't be easy to deflect aside due to their weight.
On the flip side, not every pike formation would have had every man pointing his pike to the front. It all comes down to the exact pikemen in question. the good pikes who did actually keep as many pikes lowered towards the enemy as possibbile would easilly have created a very thick and impenitrable foprest of pike points. Those that only lowered 2-3 ranks would have been very vulnrable.
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