Quote Originally Posted by Whacker

I'm going to go out on a limb here at this point and suggest that the whole "random seed" part is probably pretty moot. CA's been doing this for awhile, I don't seem to remember having complaints about agent mechanics in terms of success rates in MTW or RTW... As I've said in a hojillion other posts, I still think something is busted with M2TW agent mechanics, at least with the assassins. At this stage of the game based on my own experiences and reading what others have to say, my best guess is that the probability of success displayed is simply not accurate, because it doesn't take into account a number of factors that mainly lower one's chances. In short, my guess is the game is actually working how it's supposed to, it's just that the player isn't given an accurate picture of what the situation is, hence the complaints about useless assassins, tests that don't match up with what's displayed in game, etc...

I agree on that last point you've made...

There is certainly a behind-the-scene calculation that is not figured in the probability of success displayed thus the discrepancies between what your agent should accomplish and what he really does accomplish...

Nevertheless, on the save/reload question, I'm sure that whether it is a end turn calculation (such as character demise) or in turn calculation (assassination attempts, buying assets or spying), if the results don't match the success you should have expected, a save/reload should obtain new results...

I did this a lot at the start of my campaign... I couldn't afford to lose 500$ assassin with 70% chances of success to the unpredictability of X-unknown factor not figured in the chances of success displayed...

Thus I saved before the attempt and if failed, I reloaded (moreover I don't have the anti-trait fix so you know what I mean hero to zero in a second...)
I would then go on with my game moving at least one other character or agent and saving anew...
Then I reloaded and got back to my first assassination attempt and voila, this time, it was a success...

I've done it quite a few times, and speaking from experience, it is not a guaranteed success but you can get the feeling that something different has been happening...

Hope you see my point...