Try both of these two things together:
1. The celt-iberian alliance script fix from the ctd-fixes sticky.
2. prevent a rebellion in Numantia (e.g. move a good governor out of his city, maybe with some additional troops (for instance the guy in rome), and then move him next to Numantia using
Code:
move_character "Firstnamemiddlename Lastname" 34,133
and then move him into the city.)
This gets me past the ctd, so it should work for you.
The crash happens because of a combination of Numantia rebelling and a few issues in 0.81 with the celt-iberian alliance script.
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