Russia has been quite militarily inactive towards outside countries lately; trying more to consolidate and rebuild internally. While the bomb tests, and the resumed bomber patrols, along with Putin's anti-democratic moves are worrying, the interesting question is whether Russia actually has the needed level of centralization in their armed forces to be able to form an offensive military threat to others (without dissolving due to lack of motivation, or turning into civil war/revolts), and have a desire to do so. It's difficult to guess what Putin's international politics ambitions are (if he has any), but his internal ambitions are quite clear... The interesting question is what would happen after his death (whether by old age, or other).