As the title says, importance of the result of the battle doesn't matter, all that matters is whether the battle outcome was different from what someone would guess beforehand. Someone who had all the information that was available to the commanders at the start of the battle. There are many models for judging the strength of armies including models which take into account morale, fatigue, training, equipment and terrain advantage - everything a skilled and experienced commander could use in his judgement about whether to fight or not. If we use a fair judgement of that kind rather than looking at for example numbers alone, are there any battles which can still be considered to have had a very unexpected outcome, and if so, which ones would you say?
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