I'm presenting Pedro's argument on the issue, something I had spoken to him a while ago and have additionally included my response to the steps he took.
Here are the pictures showing what Pedro had done.
Map 1:
Map 2:
Map 3:
Map 4:
Map 5:
As you can see, he used the size and location of Lake Balkhash to determine the eastern boundaries of the EB map, reasoning here:
So, by using the size and location of Lake Balkhash on the current EB map, and by mirroring such a step on a real world map of the Tarim (maps 2 - 5), he has reached the conclusion that EB's "real" eastern boundaries not only includes the Kashgar oasis, but presumably about 3 quarters of the Tarim, including a large chunk of the Taklamakan desert, even tiny bits of Turfan and the Junggar Basin and even Khotan. So, the current EB map right now depicts its eastern boundaries quite inaccurately. Also notice how long and exaggerated the Ili river stretches from Lake Balkhash to the Ili valley.
After I did my own experiment using what Pedro had done, I might have to agree with him too. However, as you can see from here,
http://encarta.msn.com/encnet/featur...pClickCheck=on, Lake Balkhash seems to be inaccurately depicted as well. Compared to the Encarta map, the Lake Balkhash on the EB map here:
is way too small, thin, and underrepresented in relation to the Caspian and Aral Seas. Also, according to the logic, "the larger physical features are, the more reliable is their placement in EB's map.", using larger physical features to determine EB's eastern boundaries would be appropriate. In this case, I've used the Caspian Sea to estimate the eastern boundaries of EB's map. These are the results I came up with:
Map 6:
Map 7:
Map 8:
On maps 7 - 8, you will notice that EB's eastern boundaries are drawn on the Khotan river and slightly to the northeast of it. However, Pedro was indeed correct about a very tiny bit of the Junggar Basin included, though Turfan and Khotan certainly aren't there. Kucha (and though the people there later spoke Tocharian - Tocharian B, there is also no historical evidence to suggest that they were under the control of the Yuezhi before the Yuezhi migrated from the eastern Tianshan - western Gansu region to the Ili, it must be kept in mind that the Yuezhi = doesn't equal all "Kuchean-Agnean"/"Tocharian" speakers) however, also appears to be there too.
The problem is that all these oases areas of the Tarim weren't necessarily directly militarily controlled by the Yuezhi, but only their tributary vassals. Yanqi, which is to the east of Kucha and in which my map doesn't seem to include, is about as far west as the historical evidence (which is arguably shaky anyway since it comes from a middle 10th century AD source, ie the Dunhuang manuscript of 966 AD mentioned by Mallory and Mair) allows for the reconstruction of the "Yuezhi empire" before their defeat by the Xiongnu and their subsequent migration to the Ili region c. 174 - 158 BC during the reign of Lao Chanyu. Pedro seems to be a bit inclined to try to squeeze the Yuezhi in if some of the speculated tributary vassal states of the Yuezhi in the oases of the Tarim are depicted, even though that would mean giving the Yuezhi a starting province with just oases and deserts, which makes one wonder if the Yuezhi were even steppe nomads at all, since they occupy no steppe on the map. Again we should consider these quotes from Stein and Mallory and Mair:
In a later post, I will also be discussing the historical situation and historical importance of the Yuezhi/Da Yuezhi during the entire period in EB and compare it to the historical significance of other empires that weren't included in EB (they certainly have no chance to be in, though I'm not suggesting that they should be included since some might call me ludicrous) and that also expanded their empire into "EB territory".
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