Players Votes
Wisdom 6 (Gemma, Ladd, EnderWiggin, nebjiamn, dyachei, Jan)
Ladd 4 (Montmorency, Theknightsofneeee, grr, Dolby)
Maple 3 (insomnia, Wisdom, Vanta Black)
nebjiamn 1 (Sunbae)
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Players Votes
Wisdom 6 (Gemma, Ladd, EnderWiggin, nebjiamn, dyachei, Jan)
Ladd 4 (Montmorency, Theknightsofneeee, grr, Dolby)
Maple 3 (insomnia, Wisdom, Vanta Black)
nebjiamn 1 (Sunbae)
oh i should clarify my role!
I think i've said it all already but:
I started the game with the ability to select any minor arcana card I wish, during the day. At the end of the day, I recieve whatever card I select which contains an ability related to that card.
n1 i was targeted by the inverser who made it so I now select a target to recieve the card (rather than getting it myself). I do not know what the cards do.
I targeted Arctic last night, and gave him some sorta Coins card, idr exactly which.
Anyway, I am currently targeting Jan w/ a utility card. We'll see what it does lol
i'm gonna reiterate, gemma had every reason/excuse to leave their vote on me day 1 if they were a wolf
i was a competing wagon to them (i think we were both at 3 votes, and syn/sheep were the next highest at 2)
so moving off of me (villa), and onto syn (wolf), in a high leverage spot at EOD, especially considering no one cajoled gemma to move there specifically, and it reinvigorated that wagon which was dying off.
I can't really wolf read gemma after that personally. Gemma would have to be like a serial busser, or think they were for sure gonna die and was trying to distance (IMO that wasn't how EOD 1 felt).
btw
something that I didn't want to talk about earlier but seems relevant if people are going to lynch wisdom.
Inverter seems like it would make sense with a firefighter role specifically because i assume it would turn the firefighting part of the role into a douse.
Which would make claiming the role early for clearance bad mechanically, and is the type of punishing claiming that I know visor likes to put in his games.
would also make sense to therefore only give villas the firefighter as well, because wolves/whoever the inverter is could potentially neutralize it.
I super buy the claim.
i've noticed dolby talking about my alignment with what feels like complete certainty a couple of times, so i have just the slightest #fear that i got snowed in early by cobalt, but cobalt RWSTFO'd, and dolby is just tryharding and is also TMI'ing my alignment
not something i'm dealing with today but consider it noted
Ugh, nope,let me think about this for 10 minutes
vote: Unvote
EoD hits me at dinnnertime/cook time/family time but I do have 10 minutes
Idk i think you're familiar enough with my play that I very rarely bus, and if I do I make a show of it and try to get clearance for it.
My weak ass stuff on syn at EOD wouldn't be how i would play a bus, plus I had already set up a gemma!wolf read so i could just vote there instead of on a syn.
I agree that saying 'i would try harder as a wolf' is a bad read, but thats mostly just because I usually try just based on how much time I have available in 12/12 games.
48/24 is a different beast, and i've absolutely had time to post the last couple days, just didn't really feel like it. And I get that that is statistically >rand wolfy to admit but its the truth.
And tbqh, the wolf pushes on me day 1 were pretty lame and insubstantial, essentially boiled down to 'knights would be trying harder' or 'tone' also.
But I don't think you can reasonably make a case against me being a wolf based on my voting/pushes.
I don't really have qualms with their posts and i'm fine on my wagon, but it kinda makes sense with these:
so. 1. how did they both get the "they did that on MU idea" at the same time and both 1 day after the claim happened and not like, immediately lol.
(i believe I brought it up first btw)
2. wisdom... literally... dipped?
that was her last posts 6 HOURS before benneh and ladd talked about it (and the ones before were also slow)
she just explained a bit said something among the lines "ladd sus" and disappeared? she wasnt "trying" (at least not effectively) lol. maple was active and posting. wisdom was gone rofl. so yeah the theory that wisdom posted stronger and therefor is the more powerful wolf role is kinda sus. and um, yeah that whole movement just makes more sense with maple w.
I just consciously realized that i'm probably over indexing on villa reading people for their wall posting this game, because I think people taking the time to make compelling wall post cases/iso's in 12/12 is usually slightly >rand villager, but in a 48/24 with post cap people have way more time so its probably just = rand.
will probably reeval dolby/monty/gemma/ender with that in mind.
oh look other people are questioning too
can we go back to looking at ladd?
Like, I trust more of the voters on ladd, than the voters on Maple. And more of the voters on Wisdom than the voters on Maple.
The majority has been right two days in a row.
I don't wholly trust either claim but it sounds like Maple's claim is resolvable. But if Wisdom's claim is real then she does have an action tonight I think--somebody said she doesn't.
I think if Maple doesn't get resolved we kill him tomorrow?
vote: Wisdom
@Vanta Black
what would you say is your strongest 3 reads ATM?
and how do you normally like to play as a wolf? coast and try to survive? push villagers? protect wolf partners? something else? trying to see what I should see that makes you a villager.
But I don't have time to go back and look.
Players Votes
Wisdom 7 (Gemma, Ladd, EnderWiggin, nebjiamn, dyachei, Jan, Vanta Black)
Ladd 4 (Montmorency, Theknightsofneeee, grr, Dolby)
Maple 2 (insomnia, Wisdom)
nebjiamn 1 (Sunbae)
@vanta
Do you have a reason that makes you think wisdom is a wolf?
or are you just trying to vote with people you have as villagers?
vote: ladd
I’ve had the thought but it was offset by me initially thinking they were likely w/w and manti was a better role
I’m not spewing every thot into the game thread right away at every chance given both the cap and general thread health reasons
To your last point I think there’s an interpretation translation issue because I’m not saying wisdoms posts were good. Just that manti wasn’t really teying much to wiggle out of the elim. If they are w/w and manti had the better power I’d expect he post better and wisdom would have somewhat conceded to dying earlier since they were really the only 2 wagons in consideration for most of today
Three posts yet
Going to take a moment to say that I don't agree with grr that ladd and gemma are pairred but I can see how you think that way from Gemma's d3. I still need to re-ev gemma but she is probs town. Gemma you talked a bit about ladd and had some as bottom sus and I know why you moved him up, he had a good post iyo, but it feels like at some points today despite him being your top scumread you dont want to be there and are searching for reasons to get off of him
I'm still at ladd/wisdom/maple
@Jan I know you're saying you are going to execute Maple but please do not be swayed unless you receive something that confirms Maple's alignment to you
Sunbae's isolated Benneh vote is interesting on it's own and I want him to talk about it tomorrow
grr remains towny 2862 is towny
knights is fine. I'm at maple is a wolf bc I didn't like their posting, how Syn had them as top town, and later I didn't like their claim and felt like they weren't acting how a town that presumes they are being yeeted today and nothing can stop it SHOULD be acting. Like up until recently when they put out "ender's claim is, ben, dolby, sunbae]" I didn't even feel like I was getting that for solving and that is still unconvincing
fwiw I think that ladd's stuff on d2 with wisdom would be mildly unpairring if he went anywhere with it before today. i, again, feel like he is going there bc the gamestate is forcing him to and I agree with what grr is saying on maple being likely a more powerful wolf
Knights I think that the inverter is town from who they have targetted and tbh given inverter has if anything buffed people I kinda think that makes wisdom a more likely wolf? like, a reward for being inverter targetted.
Vanta is disconnected this EOD and I think that's towny
I have three posts left. I'm saving two of them for the last 10 minutes
iso'd vanta because i've had a complacent villa lean on them from day 1.
was hoping i'd come away with a wolf read because I'm starting to run low on people I want to push after ladd/jan
unfortunately still villa read this slot
his early jan villa read that he gave for jan talking about tarot cards felt super pure then, and still pure now.
think this frustration could be incorrectly villa read, but i think vanta could easily feel this as either alignment so want to make it clear if people are villa reading posts like this I think that read is pretty bad.
*caveat I am intentionally not gonna over villa read wall posts*
i think the way that vanta focuses on people that he has played with before feels level 1 villagery in a good way,
I really liked this post.
I think this is what an overwhelmed villager's first instinct would be, especially with several confusing mechanics/claims compounding.
My biggest reservation is that his pushes so far today (maple/wisdom) seem a bit unsubstantiated/concensus'y, and i don't feel much scumhunting from this slot. But by their own admission they're not the strongest villager so i'm not as concerned as I maybe should be.
nah its fine just funny/annoying if you're village
but such is life :cheers:
why do my multiquoted posts keep staying around after i make a post with them zzzzzzzz
pls help
ladds read in knights is real bad imo and feels like widening the POE, esp since im who he’s pairing knights with
idk if i have the balls to do it and be wrong tho cause then im eating a vig shot in the face (or a launch)
“nebjiamn Benneh--getting a cat? Cannot decide whether wolfy or towny for the cat thing”
lmao
i am kinda concerned that i may be wrong on Wisdom and it may be just Ladd/Maple. Wisdom is still a bottom three read for me and I think Wisdom can still be pairred with Ladd easy but like, Ladd calling out Wisdoms for good reasons on day two (that Wisdom just dropped a townread on Vanta to a scumread really abruptly) did feel good, but he never went anywhere with it until the middle of day three. Kinda just feels like cheap distancing in that context
Don't let anyone tell you that ladd and maple aren't teammed, I really just think they are off of interactions and ladd voting there without doing anything to inpact a Maple yeet outside that vote.
I feel that Wisdom using Gemma to say that Maple/Ladd were not w/w and Gemma was wolf was super bad and fits with wisdom/maple/ladd all being wolves
I think that ladd is only making the push on Wisdom today because of the threadstate. I think that he's only pushing wisdom today because of the threadstate. I think that if he cares about the dropped vanta read he would have done something with it on day two instead of just leaving them middle of the pack and saying (admitidly only semi prompted) that he's considering if wisdom could be a wolf and then coming up with reasons to v read wisdom. I also like, just don't feel any conviction in reads on Benneh and sunbae which is a bad sign when I feel like he's on Wisdom for gamestate only reads already
grr has had really villagery today. I don't agree with it but I feel ladd and gemma pairred was a towny thought informed by looking at what gemma has been doing on d3 only.
knights, maybe I should re-ev him but I really was feeling like his d1 posts are coming from town and I feel that the circumstances of eod1 led themselves to him being a villager, and syn probablybeing the only wolf wagon
gemma, eh I think Gemma is fine
Dolby
Dya
grr
Insomnia
Knights
Vanta Black
Monty - if bad is more likely a 3p than a mafia
EnderWiggin - yep Ender is this high! I feel like i kinda tunneled on Ender but he had a lot of villager energy today and I feel like some of his posting doesn't look as bad as I was acribing it in retrospect
Gemma - need to re-ev
Benneh - need to re-ev
Sunbae - need to re-ev
Wisdom
Ladd
Maple - please kill with fire jan
I have two posts left, this is my legacy. I am saving those two posts for vote changes if neccessary
NAI in the end. Good luck, once you have decided you need a cat, a cat will appear, somehow.
Also @insomnia congrats on the job.
would Ladd be more upset at me for misvoting him here if he’s town or me breaking the spaghetti noodles I just put in the water for dinner
im fine with ladd dying im personally just not voting there rn bc im in wolfchat with him
went back to find that wisdom/syn interaction that i liked day 2
it was this first one (where wisdom talked about giving rask a villa read) but awkwardly reading it with the rask flip makes it kinda feel like TMI from wisdom
so i came away with the opposite read lmfao
below is all syn --> wisdom interactions
notable is ladd left off the reads list and then put in 'fine i guess' after and having this interaction with syn
which still feels pretty partner'y to me
after iso'ing wisdom i honestly don't see him as super wolfy
like its def not blowing me away with villageriness or anything, but yeah i'm not super feeling it
this might be a stupid read but I think wolf!wisdom wouldn't have me as essentially null most of the game when i was one of the only people even vaguely defending him the last couple of days, and I voted on a wolf EOD1
i think he would have enough self pres instinct to at least fake that read lol
and I think the POV of wisdom pushing his gemma wolf read in an effort to potentially clear himself, even tho realistically his read on gemma shouldn't be that strong, is something I've done as a villager who is wolf read and felt that he was likely to get miselimed
Like I said, I think Town has lost the initiative. I would truly have my mind blown were the trio collectively to be pure, but if any of them were town, I suspect maf will drive the lim onto them.
Why break spaghetti, it softens in just seconds. Dump it all in, wait 10 seconds (add the salt now), stir. This may or may not be a metaphor.
Players Votes
Wisdom 6 (Gemma, Ladd, EnderWiggin, nebjiamn, Jan, Vanta Black)
Ladd 5 (Montmorency, Theknightsofneeee, dyachei, grr, Dolby)
Maple 2 (insomnia, Wisdom)
nebjiamn 1 (Sunbae)
believe this is correct
I think wisdom is likely a difference check to the entire team i posted earlier
ladd
gemma
benneh
maple
sure can be wrong but like, almost makes so much sense i find it hard to believe it can be wrong now lol
vote: ladd
I thought I would swap if ladd became vote leader, but there is no vote count. Also if ladd became vote leader I wouldn't have to.
mont towny dont misyeet him
also knights lots more towny than ladd gives him credit for
Vote: ladd
siw trusting dya here
pasta gods give me strength
glgl hope i'm wrong
jk hope i'm right lol
Players Votes
Ladd 7 (Montmorency, grr, Dolby, Theknightsofneeee, dyachei, Vanta Black, nebjiamn)
Wisdom 4 (Gemma, Ladd, EnderWiggin, Jan)
Maple 2 (insomnia, Wisdom)
nebjiamn 1 (Sunbae)
10 years for corrections
ladd was killed.
They were:
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
24 hours for night., Night orders due 7pm, so 22 hours for night orders.
Obviously do NOT post at night, thanks.
N3 Results:
Jan was killed.
They were:
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
-----
nebjiamn was killed.
They were:
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
-----
48 hours for day.
Don't post till 9pm EDT.
so i might have lied.
benneh is my pelt
I lived bitch
vote: Dolby
Jan decided to spare my life. We discussed overnight and more or less came to the conclusion that ben/dolby+2 is the team, with a rough PoE of knights/vanta/mont/wisdom.
He recieved a medic heal which we used on Dya. Looks like it may have saved, too.
Our v list is dya/sunbae/gemma/grr/insom, in descending order.
Ender probably should have full claimed yesterday, but it is waht it is.
Vote: Wisdom
Imma be real I did no work over night again (sorry gang). At the hour before I was considering snapping back to Wisdom but felt like I should be voting with Dya
I think that Wisdom is still a hit, idk where else I'm going. My initial reaction to this is that I don't think that Ender is with Benneh, but my reads probably suck. I don't think that Vanta Black is with Benneh with that vote movement tbh.
yeah
A big issue with Wisdom is that she's very possibly paired with basically the entire PoE. Currently leaning vanta being v in those 4. Knights and mont its very close, could go either way. Knights has been pretty wolf-sidey all game, while mont is just posting some actually insane shit.
Benneh was basically outed for that eod lol
i was pissed when i saw ladd went over
I assume Jan bamboozled the Mafia and hero-shot.Neb was pure sweet-spot for me in the list, alongside Vanta. Neb and Vanta voted ladd at the very end, with one minute to spare, after not doing much voting (neb voted Maple at SOD, Vanta voted Maple midday, quickly switched to Wisdom). But this is such a weird and unnecessary association that I rather believe Vanta should be unpaired.
Note: Points to everyone who challenged neb on breezily assuring us town was winning the game yesterday. Including Vanta.
Note: Find everyone who sussed neb yesterday!!!!
People are going to want to parse neb's main reads yesterday...
(For reference, D2 neb voted Ender, Rask, Maple, Rask.)
https://forums.totalwar.org/vb/showt...post2053859172
Yes, I was wrong about ladd, well, he's no Maple...
I would be willing to vote Dolby just for the shell game he played with ladd-Wisdom-Maple all day yesterday.