Largest bank failure in American History.
Are we screwed yet?
If we spend 700 billion (+ or - 200 billion) we will be.
There, but for the grace of God, goes John Bradford
My aim, then, was to whip the rebels, to humble their pride, to follow them to their inmost recesses, and make them fear and dread us. Fear is the beginning of wisdom.
I am tired and sick of war. Its glory is all moonshine. It is only those who have neither fired a shot nor heard the shrieks and groans of the wounded who cry aloud for blood, for vengeance, for desolation.
You are against the bailout, eh? So am I, but I'd vote for it.
"That rifle hanging on the wall of the working-class flat or labourer's cottage is the symbol of democracy. It is our job to see that it stays there."
-Eric "George Orwell" Blair
"If the policy of the government, upon vital questions affecting the whole people, is to be irrevocably fixed by decisions of the Supreme Court...the people will have ceased to be their own rulers, having to that extent practically resigned the government into the hands of that eminent tribunal."
(Lincoln's First Inaugural Address, 1861).
ΜΟΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ
There, but for the grace of God, goes John Bradford
My aim, then, was to whip the rebels, to humble their pride, to follow them to their inmost recesses, and make them fear and dread us. Fear is the beginning of wisdom.
I am tired and sick of war. Its glory is all moonshine. It is only those who have neither fired a shot nor heard the shrieks and groans of the wounded who cry aloud for blood, for vengeance, for desolation.
Can I name this an honorary Bushism?You are against the bailout, eh? So am I, but I'd vote for it.
Koga no Goshi
I give my Nihon Maru to TosaInu in tribute.
That's a bushism if I've ever seen one:)
hehe. I meant it.
Last edited by ICantSpellDawg; 09-26-2008 at 07:48.
"That rifle hanging on the wall of the working-class flat or labourer's cottage is the symbol of democracy. It is our job to see that it stays there."
-Eric "George Orwell" Blair
"If the policy of the government, upon vital questions affecting the whole people, is to be irrevocably fixed by decisions of the Supreme Court...the people will have ceased to be their own rulers, having to that extent practically resigned the government into the hands of that eminent tribunal."
(Lincoln's First Inaugural Address, 1861).
ΜΟΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ
It was just too good, Tuff.
Koga no Goshi
I give my Nihon Maru to TosaInu in tribute.
Every company wrapped up in subprime loans will have to take their punishment before this bad debt is flushed out of the system. Some will persevere and some will fail. Smart, well managed companies such as JPMorgan and Bank of America will feed off of those less fortunate and grow. This is the free market.
Or....
The government will prop up failed companies with poor business models with money it does not have, become the owner of many of them, and become responsible for liquidating huge amounts of unsecured debt. This, of course, calls for a large bureaucracy and new regulations that will undoubtedly remain with us long after their usefulness runs out. This isn't even socialism. Socialism is smarter than this...
You are off your rocker. Completely. The banks were forced to do NOTHING. This was greed and opportunism and reckless, unregulated speculation that the housing market was going to inflate forever. This was banks not even doing BASIC CREDIT CHECKS or verifying the income of anyone who walked in and said I make 400,000, give me a loan for that 680,000 dollar house.
You are, just.. wrong. I'm sorry but you are.
Koga no Goshi
I give my Nihon Maru to TosaInu in tribute.
Dude.... sub prime lenders. Sub prime meaning less than prime. You go to your normal bank where you do checking and savings, and they would check your income and credit and expenses before giving you a loan.
Subprime: we give loans to people who really shouldn't have them. In fact lots of times we don't even check the numbers!
Subprime should not have even existed, if there had been regulation. Or it should have been MUCH more strictly structured in how it could give out loans to people who only marginally qualified. It most certainly should never have allowed any old company to give out loans and then pawn them off.
This was the banking equivalent of "convenient store medical treatment." With no one checking credentials or doing blood tests or anything. And it had predictably similar results.
Koga no Goshi
I give my Nihon Maru to TosaInu in tribute.
Where's my money http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Community_Reinvestment_Act
poof
No one forced the banks to lend they did this because some guy lets call him bob came on the wheeze of packaging debt for sale but it wasn't a case of like for like. Taking good solid debt packages from people who could pay they added in some medium risk and then some really risky ones this all gets chopped up packaged and repackaged till eventually the bubble of debt surrounding it is many multiples of the original.
Of course nobody now has a clue what is going on it and then it becomes a case of don't be Johnny last in the pyramid. This really comes down to having unsuitable interest rates as savings are eaten by inflation you must invest in equity with potential to grow however the lower the interest rate the bigger the equity gamble it must be to cover it. This in itself is not evil however possibly it should have been harder for banks to chop good bad and middling debt together and sell it the risk factor was obviously totaly wrong on these packages.
In engineering we learn that current flows through the path of least resistance so regulation has really merely diverted the flow of money into another area where it built up and eventually burst. However its wrong to say taking away all regulation would ease pressure on the system as a whole this runs into the problem that a market needs regulation to be free and fair. With out laws how can we sell a contract and be confident of payment in two years time how do we do any of the things we take for granted. People used to think that because Great Britain said it didnt interfere in business in the empire days it was true complete lies. Britains navy maintained safe oceans for trade it armies ensured stability for investment its laws allowed people to plan. Regulation is required the problem is we cant stop busts and we just have to realise that as time goes on the bigger the boom the bigger the bust simple really but painful in reality.
Banks are not forced to lend because thats number one a lie banks lent because they were chasing even more equity the key is return on investment not the amount made. If I invest ten thousand and make twenty my return is twice my initial stake this is where these NINJA loans and sub prime ideas looked good the amount seemed to suggest high return on investment. Then by selling it all supposedly the original bank was covered however as I already stated they sold it in a new form disguising it's risk or maybe they just didn't know cos it had been repackaged many times over. We must also remember sub prime does not mean unable to pay it means your not a proper person to lend to your not prime. This can be because of court judgments irregular working arrangements etc
appoligies in advance for my simplified ecomonic points I have a fair idea what going on but that seems to be all anyone has.
Last edited by gaelic cowboy; 09-26-2008 at 13:54.
They slew him with poison afaid to meet him with the steel
a gallant son of eireann was Owen Roe o'Neill.
Internet is a bad place for info Gaelic Cowboy
Banks played their part, but if you don't want reckless behaviour you shouldn't shape odd conditions.
Social-enginering meet reality.
Most likely the consensus in future times will be the Interest rates were too low for too long its likely Alan Greenspan will suffer hugely in terms of reputation for this debacle. Ecomonic theory would have suggested raising interest rates long before this happened but political reality demands low ones this disconnect between the economic reality and the political is the problem. This unfortnately cant be solved by less or more regulation as it is entirely a human problem.
They slew him with poison afaid to meet him with the steel
a gallant son of eireann was Owen Roe o'Neill.
Internet is a bad place for info Gaelic Cowboy
Banks played their part for sure. What many people fail to realize is that during the run, banks actually encouraged bad loans. This way they got paid for closing costs, took in a couple years of payments, then foreclosed on the home and sold it for even more money to the next sucker. A great business model all around, until the house prices stopped going up.
JP is loving life. They offered to buy WaMu back in March but were turned down. Now they got them at a bargain. This is actually a good thing though, this keeps WaMu's insured deposits from getting hit, so the FDIC fund remains intact for now. A WaMu failure would have taken about half of it, IIRC.
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"Why do you hate the extremely limited Spartan version of freedom?" - Lemur
So, a question:
If WaMu's bad paper (and a mini-run by depositors) made it "unstable" according to regulators, and JP Morgan could afford to fold WaMu's bad paper into its own operation - presumeably at something less than a net loss... do we taxpayers really have to still pump $700Bn of unearned cash into this system? Might the behind-closed-doors dithering on the bailout, actually have been a good thing, and that bailout now be moot? Might the market just correct itself (leaving shareholders flat, of course)?
Be well. Do good. Keep in touch.
That's exactly what happened. In fact, I want to share with you a simple stick figure play of how the entire thing started.
http://www.slideshare.net/guestd5ab5...ubprime-primer (A few bad words, but I think it's pretty good. My econ 351 professor takes credit for this. A class full of juniors and seniors found it pretty funny).
Anyway, I don't really care about the ideological aspects of the bailout. At the end of the time is it worth putting up a possible 700 billion to save the entire broad economy while opening up the possibility to actually make cash in the long term or do we say "screw this" and let everyone fail? I'd go with the former. I'm not sure many of you really understand how much some of these companies are intertwined in the overall economy.
Correct me if I'm wrong. But they wouldn't have made those risky loans had Fannie/Freddie not been so eager to snap up those mortgages and repackage them.Originally Posted by Koga No Goshi
Shhh, you can't ask questions like that.Originally Posted by KurkiKhan
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"Don't believe everything you read online."
-Abraham Lincoln
.,.,
Last edited by Faust|; 09-26-2008 at 22:57.
Last edited by Puzz3D; 09-26-2008 at 20:15.
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We've already got that. We've spent billions and billions and billions and billions off the budget on all kinds of unregulated contractors and mercenary corporations who are accountable to no one, least of all the taxpayers, in no-bid contracts. So don't get all dramatic acting like this is the barbarians coming over the 7th hill. You ideologues had no problem with shadow government and huge unaccountable spending for the last 8 years.
For the record, I'm against the bailout. But because I think the people who perpetrated this fraud- and unlike you, I do not consider them innocent victims of regulations they had to follow, it was JUST the opposite, taking advantage of a situation where there was insufficient regulation-- should not walk away pretty. Unfortunately I think the CEO's and execs already did, and now the only ones who will REALLY suffer if we don't do the bailout is our economy, and thus normal people who had nothing to do with the crisis, and perhaps low end employees of some bigger firms. So, this situation is already a we're screwed and lose-lose, whatever happens. Which is PRECISELY what happens in any environment of Rich Privilege and deregulation.
Koga no Goshi
I give my Nihon Maru to TosaInu in tribute.
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