Re: The Settlement (IN PLAY)
The choice of FactionHeir is... interesting. It is indeed obvious that FH was the Thief whose role PM Seamus revealed. I'm not quite sure what to make of this. FH was clearly the leading contender for today's lynch, which makes his elimination odd, since he would have been an easy meat shield for the mafia. The mafioso must have thought he would get something out of this kill that would be worth sacrificing the meat shield. There are two possibilities that spring immediately to mind: (1) discrediting GH by proving that his second suspect was wrong, (2) making it look like ATPG's network had a leak.
However, both of these have problems as well. (1) is essentially pointless, since GH has already proven that he has at least some credible evidence because of Andres' reveal and the absense of the knife-killer last night. (2) could only be possible if the mafioso knew that ATPG's Network itself knew FH's identity. While this is certainly possible, it is very risky for the mafioso, as it would instantly point suspicion at anyone in the ATPG Network who knew this information. The mafioso would have to be either extremely ballsy or think that such an analysis would not point to him.
There is also a third possibility: the mafioso wanted to disrail the town's conversation and cause a bit of chaos. While I suspect this is more the case, we can't ignore (2) and so we should go through the motions on this one. ATPG/Seamus: do you have any reason to suspect anyone else who knew FH's identity?
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