I'm not a particuarly 'seasoned' player but here's my take as of right now.
ATPG is being voted for via a mix of gut instincts and half serious votes : which i expect to change to someone else if anything pops up.
Glenn - well is Glenn - read the CDTC II thread for abit and you realise how even when he had a pro town role - everyone rammed it into him considerably. Again, there's no solid evidence apart from a 'drunk' introduction - which means only one thing : his character is a drunkard! Maybe the secret role is the drunken martial art expert you see in a fair few films!
Tiberius is under the suspicion of "role fishing" - the idea is that mafia/anyone (associated with mafia though) try and find conclusive evidence as to assign people to roles - especially important are the 3 protectors of 'our lord', the geishas and the 3 mafia. This way, you can either fake your own role more effectively or lead out targets.
Sasaki is as always - unafraid of commotion and confrontation in the game thread. The early "prevoting" of Tiberius (based on Sasaki's own accusation of Tiberisu role fishing) attracted votes - also I believe one of hte votes is due to the unnecessary emoticons added to the accusatory post.
I think that sums up the main contenders.
I voted Factionheir - claiming my vote made no sense is not particuarly a good reason for me being scum so counter vote for reasons i summed up before.
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