The Red Phoenix [Concluded]

**FactionHeir** · 12-01-2009, 09:59

How come DiY is alive and dead?

**Sprig** · 12-01-2009, 10:05

Originally Posted by FactionHeir

How come DiY is alive and dead?

Just a mistake, it has been like that for several writeups now.

**Death is yonder** · 12-01-2009, 11:07

I have two lives, beware!

Vote: FactionHeir

What mischief did Pang Tong get up too,

Necromancy?

*swish swoosh* I'm alive!

**Jolt** · 12-01-2009, 14:59

Originally Posted by FactionHeir

How come DiY is alive and dead?

>_>'

Nicely noted. <_<' That's what I get for partially copy-pasta previous days.

Night 6 is over. Standby for execution.

**Jolt** · 12-02-2009, 15:34

Sorry guys, something unforseen came up yesterday, and I spent the entire day away and I only came back at dawn.

Anyways, the resuming what happened:

The Red Phoenix - Night 6

Someone stays awake at night and goes to attack Faction Heir, who defends himself yet again and chases the attacker away.

Next day the advisors reconvene yet again to try and find out the culprit.

Day 6 votes are due in 3 PM GMT / 10 AM EST, 3rd of December.

**Yaropolk** · 12-02-2009, 19:18

Well at least only one attacker now - FH, any clues in your writeup?

**FactionHeir** · 12-02-2009, 19:32

Nope, not this time, or Jolt forgot.

**Yaropolk** · 12-02-2009, 19:45

After going back through and reading the posts my FOS points to Beskar and to Subotan

Here's a quick analysis of the alive people:

Subotan has had exactly 0 posts since getting his role, and yet he hasn't been WoG'd, so he's doing something to stay active.

On the day that we voted off Khaan, Beskar jumped on atheotes when Khaan was in danger, quickly followed by Sprig (Sima Yi).

What's worse is that ATPG's analysis agrees with me. If this is right and he figured this out 3 nights ago I'll be mightly impressed.

ATPG post has nice outline of that day's votes:
https://forums.totalwar.org/vb/showp...&postcount=112

Beskar has claimed the role of Man Chong (Boning) in one of his earlier posts. Man Chong is a minor Wei side general. However his name was mentioned right in the Red Cliffs wiki article, so it's quite possible he just pulled a minor character from there figuring nobody else will have him.

ATPG and Joooray have both been active and were the first 2 to vote for Khaan. They're likely innocent.

FactionHeir - confirmed pro town power role.

Yaropolk - active but nothing to prove he's innocent. I'd be willing to post my role PM if it comes down to it. I would rank myself third on suspect list after Subotan / Beskar.

After going through that I'm going to vote: Beskar with Subotan being lynchbait for tomorrow.

**Yaropolk** · 12-02-2009, 19:50

Actually, changed my mind on the priority of lynches - on the Khaan lynch, Beskar did have a chance to save Khaan by throwing his vote over to Jooray, especially since he would've known Atheotes still had a vote left and would try to save himself.

Subotan today,
Beskar tomorrow

unvote: Beskar vote: Subotan

**Joooray** · 12-02-2009, 20:01

Although it also impacts the clues about my own innocence I would recommend that we consider that there might be two independent mafia groups in this game, with one of them emerging when the other is weakened or destroyed. After all the write-up after Sprigs execution does not say anything about a connection to our enemies army but only that he has to die the death of a rebel. That means the voting behavior when we went against khaan might not be the best indicator.
Or am I missing something here.

Apart from that I find your arguments to be sufficient enough to Vote: Subotan. Especially the not being WoGed part is quite damning.