Quote Originally Posted by Seamus Fermanagh View Post
The final tally was clearly well known by leadership in advance, or a certain Senator's daughter's wedding would have been delayed a few hours.

You did, Monty, more or less precisely predict the final vote.
Murkowski "paired" with that Senator (voted Present), and Manchin and Collins had declared within the past day, so the outcome was known by Friday afternoon.

Well, it was a remedial prediction in truth.

I posted before Manchin declared for Kavanaugh, but it was at the very endgame after the FBI investigation came out and Flake and Collins made their dispositive noises. If you then have every article on the subject noting separately that Manchin is the expected swing Democrat, and that Murkowski is the most precarious Republican, it doesn't take uncommon erudition to sum 1 and 1 together.

It does always feel great to make the right call, though.

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