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  1. #11

    Default Re: Trump Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by drone View Post
    If the case is brought by the SDNY it would be possible to convict. Everybody in NYC already knows he's a crook and conman...
    1/5 of the city voted Trump. 1/3 at the state level. His support here doesn't seem to have diminished over time, at least as compared to the battleground states. A jury of 12 is going to roll a Trump partisan. The prosecutor won't be able to strike every potential Trump partisan.

    No dice.

    EDIT: Remember that the problem is the level of risk. I don't remember how to do calculate combinations and I won't look it up. Basically, the probability of at least one juror being a 2016 (or even worse, 2020) Trump voter times the probability of at least one of these being a diehard partisan times the probability that the prosecutor can't identify and reject a Trump partisan.

    The test already failed in at least one occasion (Manafort). Even a 10% risk of blowing the trial the way the feds blew the trials against the Bundys and their cohorts (remember that?) is simply way too high for this country's stability, and I believe the risk is much higher than 10%.
    Last edited by Montmorency; 08-28-2019 at 00:34.
    Vitiate Man.

    History repeats the old conceits
    The glib replies, the same defeats


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