First elections results are in. Donald Trump is winning the TW district, but not greatly. Technically, there's a chance that Biden might cover the distance, but most pundits are skeptical. Greens have been evaporated, but Liberals got a considerable part of the vote, which suggests increased aggregation for the Democrats and centrifugal tendencies for the Republicans. Compared to the 2016 results of the same TW district, we notice a dramatic polarisation, in favour of the two major parties, of which however the Democrats benefited disproportionately.
So, Trump is winning the TW race, but how representative is that district of the entirety of the United States? Not much, experts argue. Although young, foreign-born citizens are overwhelmingly over-represented, a demographic traditionally associated with the Democrats, statisticians point out that the vast majority of them are white males of upper or middle class background.
As a personal note, I'd like to underline the unacceptable irregularity of the authorities failing to maintain the secrecy of the vote. Tsk, tsk, tsk...
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