I have noted the same thing. However it might still be because of spies. I played a game as Milan and had big unrest problems in my capital but after a serious effort I managed to rid the town of spies and suddenly all unrest, even that pesky 15% was gone.
So my only suggestion would be to try harder. Gather as much as 5 or more good spies in a single city and wait and see what happens.
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