The Continuing Push Towards The Inevitable War with Iran

[gaelic cowboy]

Reading between the lines I get the feeling Iran is not actually going to build a bomb at all, they will just prove they have capability and it will be a deterrent.

The West and Israel is goosed on this one Iran can prove ability and achieve hegemony without the all the bad stuff like war.

[Centurion1]

Reading between the lines I get the feeling Iran is not actually going to build a bomb at all, they will just prove they have capability and it will be a deterrent.

The West and Israel is goosed on this one Iran can prove ability and achieve hegemony without the all the bad stuff like war.

the concern is whether or not they will sell weapons and information to other rogue states or terrorist organizations. If they tried to bomb or drop an icbm on the US they would be the laughingstock of the modern world.

[GenosseGeneral]

As stated above, Idon't think the Iranian bomb can be prevented by military means. If the Iran wants to build a bomb by all means, it can and the West can do hardly anything against it. The question is though, how much of a threat this is: Even if the Iranian government is inspired by ideology, it might not mad enough to start a nuclear war if not under attack.
On the other hand (German) history prooves, that governments can be more than just mad...

[Hax]

Depends on who is in power in Iran. We can't really make a really good statement here, simply because we have no idea what is going on in Iran right now. Ahmadinejad in particular has been influenced by the pragmatic conservative politician Esfandiar Rahim-Mashaei, but his close allies have recently been arrested and tried over fraud allegations.

We all know that the real power lies with ‘Ali Khamenei. We also know that some of his closest allies, such as Mojtaba Khamenei (his son) and Ayatollah Jannati are dangerously mad people, who in essence have no idea about how reality works. They are also horribly uneducated on the subject of international politics. On the other hand, Ahmadinejad and Khamenei still appear to be close, but nobody really knows what is going on right now. When it comes to dealing with Iran on a political level, there are three important people:

1) Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Leader, who virtually controls everything that is going on in the country. The Quds Force (led by Qassem Sulaiman) as a special part of the Revolutionary Guard, and the Basiji (religious police) answer directly to him, leading to the second person
2) Mojtaba Khamenei, Khamenei's son. He basically controls the basiji and is a big political player. He also apparently holds major assets. In particular, he is known not to be in the least afraid to use excessive violence against anyone.
3) Mohammad Ali Jafari, commander of the Revolutionary Guard. He replaced Safavi a couple of years back in a move apparently constructed by Khamenei to remove some of Ahmadinejad's closest allies from political power.

These three people are probably the most dangerous when it comes to international politics. The problem with Iran nowadays is that there used to be a very strong pragmatic conservative group (led by people such as Hashemi Rafsanjani), but Iranian politics are now dominated more and more by fanatics, which is a very​ worrying development.

For more information:

http://<a href="https://www.youtube....QQKh5wmK9g</a>

[Noncommunist]

As stated above, Idon't think the Iranian bomb can be prevented by military means. If the Iran wants to build a bomb by all means, it can and the West can do hardly anything against it. The question is though, how much of a threat this is: Even if the Iranian government is inspired by ideology, it might not mad enough to start a nuclear war if not under attack.
On the other hand (German) history prooves, that governments can be more than just mad...

Even if they don't start a war, their power of deterrence would deter us from invading at some point later. That and it might inspire some of the other middle eastern powers to obtain them as well as it'd be another thing to keep track of in the event of regime collapse in Iran.