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    The Black Senior Member Papewaio's Avatar
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    Default Re: Would your opinion on Bush would've been different if......

    If 9/11 happened but all the resources were thrown into Afghanistan then Bush would have had far more international support and post presidency good will (which translates into $$$ on the speaking circuit).

    It might even be possible that Afghanistan might be on its way to being the next Nepal rather then the next Syria, Somalia or Iraq.
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    Praefectus Fabrum Senior Member Anime BlackJack Champion, Flash Poker Champion, Word Up Champion, Shape Game Champion, Snake Shooter Champion, Fishwater Challenge Champion, Rocket Racer MX Champion, Jukebox Hero Champion, My House Is Bigger Than Your House Champion, Funky Pong Champion, Cutie Quake Champion, Fling The Cow Champion, Tiger Punch Champion, Virus Champion, Solitaire Champion, Worm Race Champion, Rope Walker Champion, Penguin Pass Champion, Skate Park Champion, Watch Out Champion, Lawn Pac Champion, Weapons Of Mass Destruction Champion, Skate Boarder Champion, Lane Bowling Champion, Bugz Champion, Makai Grand Prix 2 Champion, White Van Man Champion, Parachute Panic Champion, BlackJack Champion, Stans Ski Jumping Champion, Smaugs Treasure Champion, Sofa Longjump Champion Seamus Fermanagh's Avatar
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    Default Re: Would your opinion on Bush would've been different if......

    Quote Originally Posted by Papewaio View Post
    If 9/11 happened but all the resources were thrown into Afghanistan then Bush would have had far more intentional support and post presidency good will (which translates into $$$ on the speaking circuit).

    It might even be possible that Afghanistan might be on its way to being the next Nepal rather then the next Syria, Somalia or Iraq.
    Possible, but still long odds. Shifting it to a Nepal would have required a decades-long occupation and transition to self-governance.
    "The only way that has ever been discovered to have a lot of people cooperate together voluntarily is through the free market. And that's why it's so essential to preserving individual freedom.” -- Milton Friedman

    "The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule." -- H. L. Mencken

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    The Black Senior Member Papewaio's Avatar
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    Default Re: Would your opinion on Bush would've been different if......

    Quote Originally Posted by Seamus Fermanagh View Post
    Possible, but still long odds. Shifting it to a Nepal would have required a decades-long occupation and transition to self-governance.
    Agreed that's why I said possibly on its way to
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    Headless Senior Member Pannonian's Avatar
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    Default Re: Would your opinion on Bush would've been different if......

    Quote Originally Posted by Papewaio View Post
    If 9/11 happened but all the resources were thrown into Afghanistan then Bush would have had far more intentional support and post presidency good will (which translates into $$$ on the speaking circuit).

    It might even be possible that Afghanistan might be on its way to being the next Nepal rather then the next Syria, Somalia or Iraq.
    My preference at the time, having accepted that the US needed to take action to demonstrate that it wasn't to be sniped at without consequence, was for a big noise punitive-style strike, followed by leasing out the war to reasonably friendly local agents. If another OBL-type figure arose as a result, it would be unfortunate, but you can't entirely control these things, and shifting funding to another faction would effectively take care of this. Britain never completely had Afghanistan under its control during the Great Game, and I don't see any other foreign power ever doing so either. The USSR probably had the best chance, and we know what happened there.

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    Praefectus Fabrum Senior Member Anime BlackJack Champion, Flash Poker Champion, Word Up Champion, Shape Game Champion, Snake Shooter Champion, Fishwater Challenge Champion, Rocket Racer MX Champion, Jukebox Hero Champion, My House Is Bigger Than Your House Champion, Funky Pong Champion, Cutie Quake Champion, Fling The Cow Champion, Tiger Punch Champion, Virus Champion, Solitaire Champion, Worm Race Champion, Rope Walker Champion, Penguin Pass Champion, Skate Park Champion, Watch Out Champion, Lawn Pac Champion, Weapons Of Mass Destruction Champion, Skate Boarder Champion, Lane Bowling Champion, Bugz Champion, Makai Grand Prix 2 Champion, White Van Man Champion, Parachute Panic Champion, BlackJack Champion, Stans Ski Jumping Champion, Smaugs Treasure Champion, Sofa Longjump Champion Seamus Fermanagh's Avatar
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    Default Re: Would your opinion on Bush would've been different if......

    Quote Originally Posted by Pannonian View Post
    My preference at the time, having accepted that the US needed to take action to demonstrate that it wasn't to be sniped at without consequence, was for a big noise punitive-style strike, followed by leasing out the war to reasonably friendly local agents. If another OBL-type figure arose as a result, it would be unfortunate, but you can't entirely control these things, and shifting funding to another faction would effectively take care of this. Britain never completely had Afghanistan under its control during the Great Game, and I don't see any other foreign power ever doing so either. The USSR probably had the best chance, and we know what happened there.
    I think that that was exactly the Bush43 admin goal, but the chap they'd decided to back in the local follow-up to a punitive strike got sui-whacked.
    "The only way that has ever been discovered to have a lot of people cooperate together voluntarily is through the free market. And that's why it's so essential to preserving individual freedom.” -- Milton Friedman

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    Headless Senior Member Pannonian's Avatar
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    Default Re: Would your opinion on Bush would've been different if......

    Quote Originally Posted by Seamus Fermanagh View Post
    I think that that was exactly the Bush43 admin goal, but the chap they'd decided to back in the local follow-up to a punitive strike got sui-whacked.
    Chop sui.

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    The Black Senior Member Papewaio's Avatar
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    Default Re: Would your opinion on Bush would've been different if......

    Quote Originally Posted by Pannonian View Post
    My preference at the time, having accepted that the US needed to take action to demonstrate that it wasn't to be sniped at without consequence, was for a big noise punitive-style strike, followed by leasing out the war to reasonably friendly local agents. If another OBL-type figure arose as a result, it would be unfortunate, but you can't entirely control these things, and shifting funding to another faction would effectively take care of this. Britain never completely had Afghanistan under its control during the Great Game, and I don't see any other foreign power ever doing so either. The USSR probably had the best chance, and we know what happened there.
    If you read your Kipling you will understand how little control Britain had over Afghanistan. If Bush and Co had looked at history they might have approached Afghanistan in a different manner.
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    Sovereign Oppressor Member TIE Fighter Shooter Champion, Turkey Shoot Champion, Juggler Champion Kralizec's Avatar
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    Default Re: Would your opinion on Bush would've been different if......

    Quote Originally Posted by Pannonian View Post
    My preference at the time, having accepted that the US needed to take action to demonstrate that it wasn't to be sniped at without consequence, was for a big noise punitive-style strike, followed by leasing out the war to reasonably friendly local agents. If another OBL-type figure arose as a result, it would be unfortunate, but you can't entirely control these things, and shifting funding to another faction would effectively take care of this. Britain never completely had Afghanistan under its control during the Great Game, and I don't see any other foreign power ever doing so either. The USSR probably had the best chance, and we know what happened there.
    I thought that invading and occupying Afghanistan was entirely justified at the time, and I still do.

    I can understand the reasons behind your suggestion, but experience with Somalia suggests that abandoning a country to anarchy and extremism isn't really in the interest of the region or even the wider world.

    The USSR wouldn't have lost Afghanistan if they were the only player in the court, and neither would the Taliban have taken over the country if they hadn't been been supported by Pakistan. If Afghanistan is a "graveyard of empires" or some sort of incurable backwater, then it's largely due to neighbouring countries pissing in the soup and not because of Afghanistan itself.

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  9. #9
    Headless Senior Member Pannonian's Avatar
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    Default Re: Would your opinion on Bush would've been different if......

    Quote Originally Posted by Kralizec View Post
    I thought that invading and occupying Afghanistan was entirely justified at the time, and I still do.

    I can understand the reasons behind your suggestion, but experience with Somalia suggests that abandoning a country to anarchy and extremism isn't really in the interest of the region or even the wider world.

    The USSR wouldn't have lost Afghanistan if they were the only player in the court, and neither would the Taliban have taken over the country if they hadn't been been supported by Pakistan. If Afghanistan is a "graveyard of empires" or some sort of incurable backwater, then it's largely due to neighbouring countries pissing in the soup and not because of Afghanistan itself.
    Somalia is important because it's beside an important sea lane. If it were in the middle of Africa, it wouldn't matter a jot what its people do with their spare time. Afghanistan is in the middle of nowhere, only important to people who care what happens in central Asia (I don't). If your suggestion is that Afghanistan is concludable were it not for meddling outside powers, note who that meddling outside power is. Pakistan is a nuclear state and thus immune to conclusive military action.

  10. #10

    Default Re: Would your opinion on Bush would've been different if......

    Personally, I feel the US had it's chance at coming out of Afghanistan unscathed if we had simply gotten OBL at Tora Bora. His escape turned the military incursion into an occupation. It was all downhill from there.


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