for anyone who is Interested this is the Report he is referencing http://ww.rrojasdatabank.info/HDRP_2010_40.pdf
From a cursory read it isn't suggesting what Frag is saying - basically the report suggests the Sweeden will decline marginally while some Third world countries will grow to match them (ie rising out of Third World status) - I couldn't find any reference in the report to WHY so I suspect people are jumping on the "its all the multiculturalism" aspect rather wishfully...
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