Unfortunately for Putin, his scenario was successful only in the Crimea and Eastern Donbas - because regular Russian armed forces and/or spetznaz were involved.” Only? That is what he was saving from a very badly deteriorating situation in his point (Russian) point of view. If nothing done, he would have lost all. Can I remind you that actual negotiations has taken place, that agreement has been reach, and a mob decided to take the Parliament by storm? From Russian point of view, the ink of the agreement wasn’t even dry that the West didn’t give a monkey.
The fact as you as usual refuse to see the facts but are in the Putin Grand Dream conspiracy, your evaluation is flawed from the start.

“Neither of the metioned parts are directly ruled from the outside” You should read Dayton Agreement.

“Your comparison is flawed” Really? Well, tell me when Ukrainian government will be in control of the Rebels areas.

“no changes to any laws or the constitution were introduced to give this rump any legality or influence on the policy of the whole country.” Crimea?

“In one of your prophetic insights you said that Ukraine will be split according to cultural divides.” I think. So it is not prophetic. And when did I say that? I might, but I didn’t recall as it is not how I analyse (a thing you have not a clue how to do) under ethnicity lines.

“Do you know how far he has pushed back the borders? 100-120 km. And only in one direction - the southern one. If you are acquainted with the range of modern weapons, that's nothing. At least not what he will be satisfied with, that's why the war there is likely to resume.” Yeap, I suggest you try to walk the 100 km under fire, you might find out it is a long distance… Plus the fact of course that any movement of NATO will be rightly seen a threat. And again, Putin saved what he could. He didn’t start the move… Without it, he would have all NATO troops along all the Ukrainian borders, and lost the only Russian harbours… Putin will not re-start the war, as he has no interest in doing so. Ukrainian government might, as they want to involve NATO in it.

“Again three cheers for Putin the Strategist”: Yeah, because before this, the Baltic States were full of love for Russia and Russians. Ooops, perhaps it is one of your jokes… Sorry if I didn’t get it.

“Can you give a direct answer:” No because I don’t know. I have difficulties to see how it could be worst.

“Again evasive” Blame yourself for this one as you asked and you answered.