UK General Election 2019

[Furunculus]

the difference with GE17 is:

1. Boris is a far more engaging character than May
2. They will not have a colossal mess up of a manifesto - will be deadly boring
3. We've now had four years of non-stop brexit - and Boris is offering his 'oven-ready' solution
4. Labour have done everything to poison their relationship with their heartland
5. Corbyn is now a dull attraction despite the extreme manifesto, where he used to be shiny and new
6. Brexit Party have also stood down in 30 key tory target seats, and how hard will they campaign in other key target seats
7. Scottish Tories will benefit from non-Tory Unionists who fear another Scottish ref (in addition to another EU one)!
8. The labour manifesto is an EXTREME break from the consensus of last forty years, now is a poor time to try it
9. Finally, the Lib-Dems will come dangerously close to (or even beyond!) 20% which will cannibalize Labour votes

I have argued for ten years now that Labour is losing relevance as [the] pole of opposition to right-wing tories in an adversarial political culture reinforced by a voting system the encourages binary politics, and that 2020 would be the election that nailed the coffin shut on the notion that they are the [default] left-wing alternative.
We're lucky to have a the Lib-Dems as a 0.5 party in a 2.5 party system, for it helps us avoid the downsides of an adversarial FPTP system as we see in the US. They're about to be seen in a different light...