Tarot Mafia

[Newcomb]

didnt u say 65 that's a very strong wolfread unless u meant 65 to be v

65% is not a very strong wolfread IMO. At least by my own personal metric. Idk pick a number, "barely above a coinflip" is what I'm feeling. And yes I recognize statistically a coinflip is actually a decent wolfread.

If you're calling back to the "Newcomb is good for one wolf a game" thing, this ain't it. This is way more of a shrug than a slam dunk.

Also people should start watching their posts; think I'm at like 10 or so to cap and a few others are ahead of me.

[ColonelLubriderm]

vote: raskolnikov

[EnderWiggin]

vote: raskolnikov

That is a wild left field.

[ladd]

honestly my main takeaway from latter half of the day is that bop/artic are villas

i'd be surprised if this list isnt pure:

ladd
newcomb
stett
artic
bop
grrr
jan

could even add dya and it probablyyyy remains pure



not sure i like what knights is doing this eod sadly

[Jan]

vote: raskolnikov

vote: raskolnikov

[Gemma]

uh what reads cobalt gave you agree with?

cobalt gave:

- artic and sunbea villa reads--> you villa read neitehr of them

- sheep wolf read --> you villa read them

- stett/newcomb v reads --> ok you have these

- wisdom wolf read --> you have no read on them



if i read their iso and was you i def wouldnt say i agree with their reads

who do you want to yeet today ladd

[theknightsofneeee]

uh what reads cobalt gave you agree with?

cobalt gave:

- artic and sunbea villa reads--> you villa read neitehr of them

- sheep wolf read --> you villa read them

- stett/newcomb v reads --> ok you have these

- wisdom wolf read --> you have no read on them



if i read their iso and was you i def wouldnt say i agree with their reads

I was def more focused on the stett/newcomb reads because those were the reads I remembered cobalt making when I first v read them.

Especially the way they interacted with stett felt good in the moment (obviously I have my one reservation I just gave but the rest was good)

Obviously people I have no opinion on I’m probably not gonna agree with/disagree with a read on very strongly, unless it’s given for what feel like bad reasons, and cobalts weren’t.

Sheep wolf read is something I disagree on for sure but I liked the reason because iirc it was because sheep was weird about some opening posts for didi and myself? And I thought cobalts pushing there was villagers. Obviously my read on sheep has evolved so I disagree with the read now but I think the thought process was fine.


All in all cobalt is low posting but I see the villagery line of engagement.

And I believe when cobalt said they would be shitting bricks wolfing in this player list.

[ColonelLubriderm]

That is a wild left field.

jan said hed do rasko before syn; though i think he meant it more as he'd do neither but if one were to go down that path go rasko first;

so im going rasko first;

i think im at like 72 so im only going to post votes from here out if i feel its neccessary

[Gemma]

65% is not a very strong wolfread IMO. At least by my own personal metric. Idk pick a number, "barely above a coinflip" is what I'm feeling. And yes I recognize statistically a coinflip is actually a decent wolfread.

If you're calling back to the "Newcomb is good for one wolf a game" thing, this ain't it. This is way more of a shrug than a slam dunk.

Also people should start watching their posts; think I'm at like 10 or so to cap and a few others are ahead of me.

no i just mean 75 is rand so 65 w 35 v is a long way off that

[Newcomb]

not sure i like what knights is doing this eod sadly

yeah I have to agree; I was looking for fire I got business as usual.

Them doubling down on Jan being a wolfred after that weak ass case is not a great look

i'm fine going there im gonna hang on a syn for a while though, I really don't like the ISO. I am taking meta into account but especially when it's double unknown meta - like I don't really know rask and I don't really know syn - I just can't give it much weight.

[theknightsofneeee]

you judge syn on how snarky he is. you know that.

he was dennis the menace in cereal killer as villa and ghandi in saints and sinners as wolf.

I just left my fucking bed reread 3 of his games which I was too lazy to do until you idiots started forming a wagon this late in the day. (and apparently nobody else does the legwork)

And he is not as snarky as he was before but more than he was a wolf. which is frustrating.
I would kill rask before I kill syn because Rask has called syn lock villa somewhat early and I don't think rask as villa would be wrong.

In that weird world the team is syn/rask/wisdom + whoever. I am not confident on that, but it is possible?

While at a PC for a moment:



this take is actually bad. sunbae stopped posting because he was topposter and actually had some fine solving post in the last 24 hours.
both in absolute post as well as in % sunbae is way above ben in content. it is just not a good take.

Maybe it’s a me problem


But you could have told me sunbae had 20 posts and I would have believed you.

He has had next to no impact.

Compare that to newcomb who has had two wagons materialize just by making somewhat average cases on myself/syn and it’s pretty obvious why I think sunbae is lacking.

[EnderWiggin]

yeah I have to agree; I was looking for fire I got business as usual.

Unfortunately their Laptop stole all the fire.

[dyachei]

i can't really win here. I don't elaborate a ton on my thoughts, I get told I'm utr. I share my exact thought process and am told it's overexplainy

stett, it was literally what I thought about right before hopping on and I caught up first

[Gemma]

Vote: theknightsofneeee

Spoiler Alert, click show to read: 

totally def not opportunistically changing course and joining a wagon b/c he's postly poorly atm.

nah. i actually dont like his eod so far. feels kinda scrambly in a non-town way, and his focuses are odd

[ladd]

who do you want to yeet today ladd

anyone that i dont villa read


if i am alive on d2 i will dive into the strange case of the manti villareads cause i swear every iso i open has manti as top villa and my confusion just keeps increasing lmao

[Arctic]

ngl just based on what knights seems to think is AI / worth pushing i think i would be wolfreading his eod here regardless of his alignment just based on playstyle stuff i'm predisposed to not gelling with

so i'm trying to weigh this in even though i don't particularly like his eod either

[EnderWiggin]

Re: Sunbae

I kinda think they're wolfier than not myself. Though I'm not pursuing this rn because:
1. Too late
2. I want to give Sunbae a bit of time because when we HAVE been t/t (on the rare cases) it's been a vibe. And a lack of that D1 doesn't necessarily mean they're wolf.

But Sunbae coming in with "We gotta work together!!!" when sentiment finally shifted towards sussing them feels like damage control imo. When they haven't shown any of that sentiment before they got sussed.

Definitely something I want to revisit tomorrow and (hopefully) have time in thread with them instead of being the ships passing timezones.

[Gemma]

anyone that i dont villa read


if i am alive on d2 i will dive into the strange case of the manti villareads cause i swear every iso i open has manti as top villa and my confusion just keeps increasing lmao

ok well your case on me is mega dooky and i'll be annoyed if the masses conglomerate on me because of it

[theknightsofneeee]

Sigh

I shouldn’t have to ATE or appeal to having to phone posting in order for you guys to not kill me here.

I’m posting somewhat obviously genuine thoughts here.

If I were a wolf my worldview would be more coherent and have a plan.

I somewhat obviously don’t have one.

People keep saying they don’t like me being defensive but until recently I was a lead wagon, I obviously have to respond to stuff, so deal with it.

[Maple]

Stopped posting cause i realized i was almost at cap, however have a bit of bad timing right nbow which is making posting awkward anyway

love that for me

[EnderWiggin]

Oh and Sunbae brushing my comments off with "Can't be OMGUS I never voted you" when they were 99% of the start of sus on me and other people springboarded off that leaves me with a bad taste in my mouth. Especially since they completely ignored my refutation of their reasoning.

Yes, yes, this is a distraction when I don't wanna push this at EOD but I wanted to post while I had the thoughts and before I inevitably forget the details.

[Gemma]

Stopped posting cause i realized i was almost at cap, however have a bit of bad timing right nbow which is making posting awkward anyway

love that for me

cap is lifted for eod

[Newcomb]

Compare that to newcomb who has had two wagons materialize just by making somewhat average cases on myself/syn

i'm special tho :v

i can't really win here. I don't elaborate a ton on my thoughts, I get told I'm utr. I share my exact thought process and am told it's overexplainy

stett, it was literally what I thought about right before hopping on and I caught up first

i think you could win by not interpreting what people are saying as slights against you but moreso as their own very filtered, personal perception of another slot's subjective feel in the thread, and just go on doing your thing without lampshading how you feel your slot is being treated. you do you though I don't wanna poke the cactus

Unfortunately their Laptop stole all the fire.

ho ho ho ho hooooly shit that's mean I love it

Saving my last few posts for vote switching. I'm okay with knights or syn. I'd shed a tear for gemma and don't personally think that's a hit in my gut but I can't throw down the townshield, I don't feel it like that.

o/

[EnderWiggin]

anyone that i dont villa read


if i am alive on d2 i will dive into the strange case of the manti villareads cause i swear every iso i open has manti as top villa and my confusion just keeps increasing lmao

Ngl I have negative viewpoint on Manti. I should probably fix that at some point.

[Gemma]

idek what the votal is

[ColonelLubriderm]

if cap isn\t actually lifted and gemma posts that as a heads up play to get a bunch of villas to kill themselves i would have so much respect for them

even moreso if they are a villa with the same intent

[Arctic]

Sigh

I shouldn’t have to ATE or appeal to having to phone posting in order for you guys to not kill me here.

I’m posting somewhat obviously genuine thoughts here.

If I were a wolf my worldview would be more coherent and have a plan.

I somewhat obviously don’t have one.

People keep saying they don’t like me being defensive but until recently I was a lead wagon, I obviously have to respond to stuff, so deal with it.

well you didnt really respond to my posts and i dont find your cases convincing so im not really sure what we're supposed to do

i still havent voted yet but i dunno it's prob gonna be you or gemma

[theknightsofneeee]

WRT Jan case

I asked a question on the end for people to interact with what I wrote and explain why they were villa reading Jan, because I honestly didn’t see much to villa read except for tone.

Jan usually falls in the category of somewhat obvious villagers because he has a unique and interesting insight on people/interactions and can be very inquisitive and pressure people hard when he thinks they are wolves.

Very little of that earlier (funnily enough he has started doing that a bit more recently like his post towards me about sunbae so maybe I’m wrong on him, hella awkward)

I also thought his treatment of me was hella wolfy, and he even admitted that he thought it was reasonable for me to wolf read him based on his treatment of me.

[ladd]

cap is lifted for eod

its not

[insomnia]

well. at least 1 of the wagons seems a lot more desperate to die than the other

probably a bad sign

#wolfydrivebyreads