Quote Originally Posted by Ibrahim View Post
@TA: why should it be 1? as long as p<1, then there is an element of surprise, and thus enjoyment when it comes.
I didn't say it should be 1, though. I said the algorithmic complexity of accurately predicting what factions will be in EB 2 without any solid fact as basis for assumptions is likely larger than just wait for it to come out.

And I can be sure of that statement if the probability for each of your predicted factions to be included must amount to 1, since that is equivalent to solving the halting problem (infinite complexity: solving each sub problem is as complex as solving the entire problem itself).