Prime Minister Enda Kenny is betting that investor confidence can be restored after policy makers agreed at last week’s summit in Brussels to let financial institutions be directly recapitalized through the EU’s bailout funds. With Spain seeking as much as 100 billion euros for its banks, Ireland wants the measures to apply retroactively after pledging 64 billion euros to save its lenders.
“This is a good result, albeit mainly from a symbolic point of view,” said Owen Callan, a Dublin-based analyst at Danske Bank A/S, a primary dealer in Irish government debt. “The vast bulk of the interests getting involved were in the international space, with some small domestic participation as well.”
Spain and Greece
Spain sold three-month bills at a yield of 2.362 percent on June 26. Unlike Greece and Portugal, which have kept selling bills, Ireland stopped using public debt markets when the government was bailed out in 2010.
While Finance Minister Michael Noonan said today the state is focusing on returning to longer-term bond markets next year, it may be possible to sell such debt before the end of 2012, Dublin-based securities firm Davy, a primary dealer in Irish sovereign debt, said.
The yield on Ireland’s 5 percent security due in October 2020 rose four basis points to 6.30 percent at 12.20 p.m. London time. It dropped to 6.22 percent on July 3, the lowest since October 2010. The rate was at 7.11 percent on June 28, and exceeded 14 percent about a year ago.
At Ireland’s previous sale on Sept. 23, 2010, the debt agency sold 400 million euros of bills, with 4 1/2 month bills priced to yield 1.907 percent and 6 1/2 month bills at 2.23 percent.
“The perception is that last week’s EU summit deal to use the eurozone’s new rescue fund to recapitalise banks directly will prove extremely favourable for the Irish sovereign,” Nicholas Spiro, managing director of Spiro Sovereign Strategy in London, said in an e-mail. “However, Ireland is hardly out of the woods.”
Rescue Program
In November 2010, the EU and the International Monetary Fund agreed to a 67.5 billion euro international rescue of the nation as investors shunned Irish debt amid concern that its banking industry would topple the government into bankruptcy. The program is due to finish at the end of next year.
Spain, which like Ireland is dealing with the aftershocks of a real estate bubble, sold its January 2022 bond at an average yield of 6.43 percent today, compared with 6.044 percent the last time the nation sold its 5.85 percent bond on June 7. The yield advanced 23 basis points to 6.64 percent today.
The government also auctioned securities due in July 2015 and October 2016. At Spain’s two previous bond auctions, on June 21 and June 7, it set a maximum sales target of 2 billion euros each, exceeding the objective on both occasions.
General Concern
“There is general concern about demand for Spanish debt,” said Marchel Alexandrovich, an economist at Jefferies Group Inc. in London. “Recent data showed Spanish banks themselves turned a net seller of the country’s debt in April and May. That’s worrying.”
At the summit, euro-area leaders paved the way for Europe’s bailout fund to inject funds directly into lenders once they establish a single banking supervisor. Proposals for a unified supervision framework will be considered by the end of the year, the leaders said. They also decided that the financial assistance Spain gets won’t subordinate existing bondholders.
France, the euro area’s second-biggest economy, sold 7.83 billion euros of securities due in October 2019, April 2022 and October 2023. The 10-year bonds drew an average yield of 2.53 percent, compared with 2.46 percent in June. The 10-year yield was little changed at 2.54 percent.
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