Quote Originally Posted by a completely inoffensive name View Post
I agree with you. Obama would need to take all the contested states to get over 330. That being said, the most probable scenario (at 20%) is Obama sweeping every swing state. Given Nate's track of 99% accuracy in the past, I would say to keep your mind open for anything.
He conveniently compiles polling data and analyzes it

I could have 95% accuracy by flipping coins based on toss up states