Quote Originally Posted by Hooahguy View Post
I think after South Carolina is when we will start seeing some candidates drop out. Iowa and NH just are not a good representation of the Dem base. Nevada is better, but its a caucus so I'm wondering if the same level of chaos that we saw in Iowa will happen there too.

I do agree that if any candidate was going to get a majority it would be Bernie, especially if Warren drops out after SC. But I think it is much likelier that we are headed for a brokered convention so who knows what will happen. And that is actually what I think Bloomberg is angling for. If he can take enough delegates from Biden, he can force a brokered convention where he might have more leverage than he is letting on.

I will say this though: to Bloomberg's credit, he seems to be following a similar playbook that the Dems followed in 2018: hammer on Trump relentlessly and people are responding to that which is why he is rising in the polls.
The superdelegates ('automatic delegates') are 16% of the total delegate count but only vote if the first vote does not show a majority winner. They will not go for Bernie, even you don't care for Bernie ask yourself if you want more leverage for progressive policies at the brokered convention or if you want Bloomberg style governance.