A lot would have to go really right for Dems to pull of those two. The best chance would be for an intra-GOP struggle that tears it apart and leads Trump to lead his die-hards away. I think the impeachment conviction vote will be the biggest indicator of what will happen with regard to where the GOP is headed. If only 3-4 of them vote to convict I think we can reliably say that the GOP wont try to distance itself from Trump.
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