Casual december game

[Montmorency]

Summarizing my sentiments on the wagonomics so far, ahead of reading ladd for tomorrow:

D1

Spoiler Alert, click show to read: 

The following should be the current tally:

Logic (5): Amy, Ender, Vulgard, Ladd, Visor
Visor (2): Montmo, Logic
HK (2): Taffy, Csargo
Luv2spooge (1): HK
ATPG (1): luv2spooge
Ender (1): ATPG
Renata (1): Kagemusha
Kage (1): Boquise

Late-mid D1. Logic always a dominant candidate D1.

Logic (5): Amy, Ender, Vulgard, Ladd, Visor
Visor (2): Montmo, Logic
Kage (2): Boquise, Csargo
HK (1): Taffy
Luv2spooge (1): HK
ATPG (1): luv2spooge
Renata (1): Kagemusha

Late D2. Almost identical.

Ender (4): Ladd, Csargo, dyachei, Logic
Logic (3): Amy, Ender, Vulgard
Ampharos (3): Boquise, Visor, Renata
Visor (1): Montmo
HK (1): Taffy
Luv2spooge (1): HK
Renata (1): Kagemusha
Ladd (1): luv2spooge

EOD in 18 minutes friendos

Amp and Ender wagons appear. If Amp is maf, Boq looks good, though his initiation of the wagon could certainly be a calculated risk.

EOD1, final tally:

Logic (7): Amy, Ender, Vulgard, Taffy ,Visor, Renata, Cape
Ender (5): Ladd, Csargo, dyachei, Logic , monty
Ampharos (2): Boquise, ATPG
Luv2spooge (1): HK
Renata (1): Kagemusha
Ladd (1): luv2spooge

Final tally. I don't believe there would have been any reason for more than two scum to sit on a wagon together for extended periods. So on the Ender wagon, Csargo-dyach should be antipaired.

D2

Spoiler Alert, click show to read: 

Boquise (2): Ender, Visor
Visor (1): HK
Vulgard (1): pizza
Monty (1): Vulgard
Ender (1): Renata

Shortly after Pizza's reveal.

Ender (4): Renata, Vulgard, Ladd[/COLOR][/B], Boquise
Amy (2): Visor, Ender
HK (2): Kagemusha, Taffy
Visor (1): HK
Dya (1): Pizza
Vulgard (1): Amy
Kagemusha (1): Cape

Nearly 12 hours later, Ender and Amy are once again prime contenders.

Ender (5): Renata, Ladd, Boquise, Vulgard, Dyachei
Visor (4): HK, ATPG, Ender, Taffy
HK (1): Kagemusha
Vulgard (1): Amy
Kagemusha (1): Cape
Taffy (1): Visor

chillax friendos.

Late D2. The Visor wagon has appeared. I didn't think there were more than 2 scum on Ender D1, and there's still really no reason at all for scum not to spread out D2. Ladd may have one, or even zero, partners voting with him on Ender.

Visor (3): HK, Ender, Taffy
Ender (3): Renata, Ladd, Vulgard
Kagemusha (2): Cape, Visor
HK (2): Kagemusha, dya
Vulgard (1): Amy

argl, ninjaed by Boq

EOD in 3 hours 40 minutes roughly

EOD movements. Boq unvoted Kage and Dya moved to HK. As in D1, we have a situation with two townie wagons, plus an alt wagon on a low-impact player.

EOD2, Visor has been yeeted under the sun! He flips vanilla town

Visor (6): Ender, Taffy, Renata, Csargo, HK, Boq
Ender (4): Ladd, Vulgard, Monty, Visor
HK (3): Kagemusha, dya, Cape
Vulgard (1): Amy

Final consolidation. Renata from Ender to Visor, Csargo on Visor, HK back on Visor, Boq on Visor.
Monty on Ender (and Visor self-pres). Ender wagon is pure other than for ladd. :P
Kage wagon fades for self-pres and Cape adds to HK.
Amp again ends the day parked off-wagons.

Once again, we must not expect any wagon to contain more than two scum - though I do believe Visor was dangerous enough that he had at least one scum voting him for sure.

Ladd-dya makes sense for separating out from Ender wagon to avoid association.

HK scum is tricky because it can still fit with a large series of permutations.

Most natural pairings on Visor wagon are Taffy-Csargo and HK-Boq. Renata has been at odds with HK and Csargo, but that isn't dispositive.

Kage and Amp will remain wildcards until a second mafia is flipped, so we shouldn't focus there.

Teams of interest: Taffy-Csargo + Amy/Kage; ladd-dya-... teams difficult to assess from VCA, better to ISO dya;

Thoughts on the thread D3:

*Kage and Amy AWOL, and in case you didn't expand the VCA I count them as wildcards for now.
*I could be biased since I'm entertaining, mechanically, a Csargo-Taffy pairing, but Csargo and Taffy seem a bit frozen, tentatively reaching out for shades to keep alive (let me repeat how sketchy Csargo's unusually-assertive case on Renata looks in the immediate aftermath of the Mafia leader (ladder) openly parking on Ender in response to my call).