View Full Version : Mini Mafia Game Sufjan 10er [Game Thread]
I'm a firm believer of the vig choosing the kill in f4 to set themselves up for f3
So, go with God insomnia
I'm not entirely sure what I'm supposed to do in this situation. Maybe I need to be more aggressively defensive with an "anyone but me" mentality because I know that's the correct answer. It's what Visor has been doing today - repeating that I'm probably a villager but casing me anyways just in case - and it appears like it's going to be successful for him. I thiiiink that's still successful for me so I'm kinda just shrugging at it but I think I'll look back at this if it's a loss and try and work out how to approach this game day differently.
I'm not entirely sure what I'm supposed to do in this situation. Maybe I need to be more aggressively defensive with an "anyone but me" mentality because I know that's the correct answer. It's what Visor has been doing today - repeating that I'm probably a villager but casing me anyways just in case - and it appears like it's going to be successful for him. I thiiiink that's still successful for me so I'm kinda just shrugging at it but I think I'll look back at this if it's a loss and try and work out how to approach this game day differently.
i dont think your approach was bad, it really just comes down to how insomnia individually reads all of us
i guess from your pov its: what could i have done to be the person insomnia village reads the most
and thats a toss up lol, especially because its so reliant on d1 stuff that you cant predict is relevant
i guess the strength of your villa read on me mightve had an impact?
Carrying on with that thought, if I'm trying to say "well visor can be a wolf here because xyz but I don't think so" I think the only real "issue" in the game is the approach today being so much different than mine? Whereas I'm over here just working through things finding who I think is the wolf, he's had more of a "kill both of them" focus that really hasn't been shared by me. Which I get it, like I just said in my last post maybe that's how I should be acting too but like, I think the wolf *needs* to get both killed and I'm pretty content with just killing ephem and hoping my reads are right and I think once I make that Ephem case it should be pretty easy for him to do the same? In that world I'd probably have to say sorry to mischief who tried to warn me about it, but I really just viewed the two of them as intercommunicating villagers and didn't weigh that warning heavily.
i guess from your pov its: what could i have done to be the person insomnia village reads the most
and thats a toss up lol, especially because its so reliant on d1 stuff that you cant predict is relevant
i guess the strength of your villa read on me mightve had an impact?
Yeah, which is really funny in the Ephem wolf world because I might get chopped for being right lmao. If it is the you wolf world though then I don't think I would have gotten there in a final 3 anyways so a loss is a loss.
Carrying on with that thought, if I'm trying to say "well visor can be a wolf here because xyz but I don't think so" I think the only real "issue" in the game is the approach today being so much different than mine? Whereas I'm over here just working through things finding who I think is the wolf, he's had more of a "kill both of them" focus that really hasn't been shared by me. Which I get it, like I just said in my last post maybe that's how I should be acting too but like, I think the wolf *needs* to get both killed and I'm pretty content with just killing ephem and hoping my reads are right and I think once I make that Ephem case it should be pretty easy for him to do the same? In that world I'd probably have to say sorry to mischief who tried to warn me about it, but I really just viewed the two of them as intercommunicating villagers and didn't weigh that warning heavily.
ya i think thats reasonable
the problem is how the f4 scenario frames how people play it, and my history of f4s in vig turbos lol
I guess the other answer is "dont tunnel the vig for two days" but uh, idk I really thought that was the solve and was really happy with it.
i will say i have leaned towards eph fairly heavily, though i did do some due diligence on you, (admittedly even now i find it hard to commit on whether it was a random push or a bus lol, i hate commitment)
but the perspective of 'well i got there, so you shouldve also got there' is a mixed methodology, in that not everyone has the same perspective/approach, even if it makes a lot of sense to you (which is something i struggle with eternally and where a lot of my 'this person is tripping all these wolf signals but i think im wrong for the right reasons thing' read comes from
insomnia, you still around?
i will say i have leaned towards eph fairly heavily, though i did do some due diligence on you, (admittedly even now i find it hard to commit on whether it was a random push or a bus lol, i hate commitment)
but the perspective of 'well i got there, so you shouldve also got there' is a mixed methodology, in that not everyone has the same perspective/approach, even if it makes a lot of sense to you (which is something i struggle with eternally and where a lot of my 'this person is tripping all these wolf signals but i think im wrong for the right reasons thing' read comes from
Oh, don't get it twisted I'm not saying "I now think Visor is the wolf". I'm pretty set in stone on my read at this point and feel good about it. I'm covering bases by saying "if we do chop Ephem and Ephem flips villager and I'm a sitting duck, here's all I can tell you Insomnia to try and help you get it right". Which is some form of look at which one of us was trying to kill person and which one of us was trying to kill two because the villager between us was hunting for one wolf and the wolf needed to kill two villagers.
I don't think it'll come up (either because Ephem flips wolf or you chop me). But if it does, theres what I got.
Oh, don't get it twisted I'm not saying "I now think Visor is the wolf". I'm pretty set in stone on my read at this point and feel good about it. I'm covering bases by saying "if we do chop Ephem and Ephem flips villager and I'm a sitting duck, here's all I can tell you Insomnia to try and help you get it right". Which is some form of look at which one of us was trying to kill person and which one of us was trying to kill two because the villager between us was hunting for one wolf and the wolf needed to kill two villagers.
I don't think it'll come up (either because Ephem flips wolf or you chop me). But if it does, theres what I got.
ya thats fair, and its the argument you have to go with ya
The most sensible, accepted, gentlemanly f4 in existence. Good job everyone
Official Tally as of #720
1 Ephemeral (Sunbae)
1 Visor (Ephemeral)
Not Voting: insomnia, Visor
Day 3 ends in thunderously calm
believe this is still the count
welcome to the nl and sunbae talkshow
https://i.imgur.com/VsX07cZ.gif
whered insomnia go lol
where ephemeral
Ephemeral
05-26-2022, 23:33
i'm fighting a spider
spoiler: it's winning
Ephemeral
05-26-2022, 23:34
The most sensible, accepted, gentlemanly f4 in existence. Good job everyone
:hattip:
Ephemeral
05-26-2022, 23:56
i fucking hate life :curtain:
all time low performance from me, but i literally could not find the time
fmpov easiest thing to do is to yeet sunbae for insurance he's not a wolf and i shoot eph in the night. if the wolf is in you 2 then it's safe to assume you fooled each other hard? and i read d1 and don't particularly wolfread anything in solitude. flipping sunbae -> i clear visor and shoot eph
does this sound bad? i really am scared eph is not the wolf and if i have to pick between u 2 oh my lawd
even THO in THEORY tomorrow I should should should have time to finally read
man i hate uni
see this now makes me scared of the world where sunbae is a villager, we kill him and then you sleepwalk into shooting me and nl just laughs
unless i'm reading the entire thing wrong it almost sounds like the optimal play is to kill me today and have you actually burn braincells figuring out which of them it is lol
see this now makes me scared of the world where sunbae is a villager, we kill him and then you sleepwalk into shooting me and nl just laughs
unless i'm reading the entire thing wrong it almost sounds like the optimal play is to kill me today and have you actually burn braincells figuring out which of them it is lol
who do you think is the most likely wolf out of me and sunbae?
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 00:07
who do you think is the most likely wolf out of me and sunbae?
gth? you
but it's absurdly close and there comes a point where I have to accept there's no way I'm cleanly catching either of you with the amount of time/effort I could afford to spend on the game
so my play just has to be putting insom in a spot where he doesn't have to worry about me and can worry about figuring the wolf out, unless i'm missing something
Official Tally as of #720
1 Ephemeral (Sunbae)
1 Visor (Ephemeral)
Not Voting: insomnia, Visor
Day 3 ends in thunderously calm
believe this is still the count 2: electric boogaloo
okay we're 1 hour out.
if insomnia doesn't show back up, im voting eph.
if he shows up and wants to kill sunbae so he can feel good about shooting eph vs me, i will do it, i think eph is the wolf but if it locks in the win to 100% i'll be okay with it
if he shows up and wants to kill eph, i'll be okay with that too, i think that does increase the chance he shoots me a little but c'est la vie
gth? you
but it's absurdly close and there comes a point where I have to accept there's no way I'm cleanly catching either of you with the amount of time/effort I could afford to spend on the game
so my play just has to be putting insom in a spot where he doesn't have to worry about me and can worry about figuring the wolf out, unless i'm missing something
how did you get to me, from your sunbae vote earlier in the phase
insomnia aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 00:12
so basically unless insom feels confident enough about sunbae right now that I can just throw my hands up and sheep him on it, i'd rather let it come down to a silent fight between y'all at night while I sip margaritas on a distant beach
:2thumbsup:
vote: ephemeral
up to you insom. i might towncase myself in a bit if i feel the need.
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 00:19
how did you get to me, from your sunbae vote earlier in the phase
i think i've gone through that already no?
okay we're 1 hour out.
if insomnia doesn't show back up, im voting eph.
if he shows up and wants to kill sunbae so he can feel good about shooting eph vs me, i will do it, i think eph is the wolf but if it locks in the win to 100% i'll be okay with it
if he shows up and wants to kill eph, i'll be okay with that too, i think that does increase the chance he shoots me a little but c'est la vie
yeah and of course if Insom comes back and votes me, ephem stays on you, and you vote me, I will also be obligated to vote you. just is what it is at this point
i think i've gone through that already no?
i couldnt follow any connections you made
so if you could resummarise (not that it really matters at this point)
insomnia
05-27-2022, 00:21
gth? you
but it's absurdly close and there comes a point where I have to accept there's no way I'm cleanly catching either of you with the amount of time/effort I could afford to spend on the game
so my play just has to be putting insom in a spot where he doesn't have to worry about me and can worry about figuring the wolf out, unless i'm missing something
sure just put it all on me :no:
yeah and of course if Insom comes back and votes me, ephem stays on you, and you vote me, I will also be obligated to vote you. just is what it is at this point
ofc. some part of me desperately wants you to just take the sacrifice but its so hypocritical lol cause id never do it :P
forty minutes left of the werewolf game and potentially 24 hours and 40 minutes until we learn if we won or not \o/
insomnia
05-27-2022, 00:21
i kinda feel like we're gonna vote wrong a lot of the time and it comes down tomy shot
ofc. some part of me desperately wants you to just take the sacrifice but its so hypocritical lol cause id never do it :P
i actually thought of self voting in a recent turbo but didnt, then asked about it in turbo chat afterwards. we live in crazy times
i kinda feel like we're gonna vote wrong a lot of the time and it comes down tomy shot
as long as you don't shoot me, we win. yes i am aware how appealy and wolfy this sort of thing sounds but i cant stress it enough.
pretty sure just posting this lowers our win percentage by 1-2%
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 00:23
sure just put it all on me :no:
:creep: mfw running away from responsibility
i kinda feel like we're gonna vote wrong a lot of the time and it comes down tomy shot
heavy lies the crown
i actually thought of self voting in a recent turbo but didnt, then asked about it in turbo chat afterwards. we live in crazy times
if you were willing to bet the game on me being a villager, self voting would work in the sense that it may offer a greater chance that insom would shoot eph
but i can't ask you to selfvote lol, i wouldn't do it, maybe if i had a game of good reads but ive clearly had a bad one and don't trust myself at all
insomnia
05-27-2022, 00:24
vote: ephemeral
see you at night but hopefully not ya shmucks
Official Tally as of #793
3 Ephemeral (Sunbae, Visor, insomnia)
1 Visor (Ephemeral)
Day 3 ends in thunderously calm
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 00:30
margaritas it is
53:47 between visor and sunbae (in terms of odds of being the wolf)
asspull numbers but they're probably the best way I can somewhat closely represent how I really feel about them atm
Given how close it is I'm aware it probably won't help you much tonight insom and that's on me but so it goes etc etc
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 00:31
if nl is a villager I'm sure he'll make sure to give me a good talking to for being way too hard on him this time around lol
would bring back memories from the last org game with manti
if nl is a villager I'm sure he'll make sure to give me a good talking to for being way too hard on him this time around lol
would bring back memories from the last org game with manti
:stare:
man that endgame also ticks me off
but i have myself to blame for being lazier in that one, i couldve been a greater team force in getting esooa as a wagon earlier
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 00:37
:stare:
man that endgame also ticks me off
but i have myself to blame for being lazier in that one, i couldve been a greater team force in getting esooa as a wagon earlier
worst part about that was I already had some doubts on esooa, and manti cased them really well
of course I didn't clear him for it
and we never flipped esooa either (until after I died at least, forgot how things went afterwards aside from wolves winning lol)
good example of a game that was very close to being a crazy good village performance but it just fell short by a critical bit, we had most of the right pieces but never came together properly enough I guess
would've still probably gone down to f3 even if we did get esooa earlier I think though, hally was deeeeep
worst part about that was I already had some doubts on esooa, and manti cased them really well
of course I didn't clear him for it
and we never flipped esooa either (until after I died at least, forgot how things went afterwards aside from wolves winning lol)
good example of a game that was very close to being a crazy good village performance but it just fell short by a critical bit, we had most of the right pieces but never came together properly enough I guess
would've still probably gone down to f3 even if we did get esooa earlier I think though, hally was deeeeep
ya i had some stuff on hally in the f6, but nobody was biting and we never win with ara and manasi not showing up
we didnt kill esooa, we killed cuth or monty and shot the other i think
that was our big downfall day
that game i did have decent reads (except on gh lol) and was really confident about esooa being a wolf, just couldnt translate it to success
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 00:39
oh that was also the same game with manasi
i think i'm misremembering some timeline stuff w/r/t that one:whip:
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 00:41
ya i had some stuff on hally in the f6, but nobody was biting and we never win with ara and manasi not showing up
we didnt kill esooa, we killed cuth or monty and shot the other i think
that was our big downfall day
ya that was it
think hally had some openly partnery defenses for esooa from back when manti/I we're calling them out that could've been endgame silver bullets if they died
but alas
the big thing re hally was that they always jumped on others reads
they only tried to kill logic when the thread sentiment said he was a wolf etc
i was able to turn that game into a catch on hally in the spec chat game, so that was cathartic for me lol (not that we needed help i thinklol)
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 00:45
man why does it feel like sunbae just disappears whenever I come around
am I the sunbae repellent smh
feel like we're marching to the firing squad lol
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 00:49
though that does make me feel like nl was more so interested in figuring me out by chatting and calling me out when we've both been around
whereas sunbae looks like he only cared more about pushing me through and getting nl on board with it
either way it would look grim for sunbae tonight but I guess his only play is to hope insom just levels himself lol
though that does make me feel like nl was more so interested in figuring me out by chatting and calling me out when we've both been around
whereas sunbae looks like he only cared more about pushing me through and getting nl on board with it
either way it would look grim for sunbae tonight but I guess his only play is to hope insom just levels himself lol
yeah i thought about that a bit
and i wondered if sunbae knew pushing me was gonna be difficult so decided to play the steady calm mentor guy
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 00:50
well it's far from a well developed thought but it's still there for insom to see if he can get any value out of it tonight i guess
i think if sunbae is a wolf this is the play he had to make
he had to either get me dead (unlikely?) or look like the perfect villager to try and offset the fact he tunneled insom
I'm playing magic leave me alone
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 00:52
yeah i thought about that a bit
and i wondered if sunbae knew pushing me was gonna be difficult so decided to play the steady calm mentor guy
ya, I didn't pay much attention to it till recently because I kind of noticed me and sunbae were not really well matched in terms of activity patterns so I figured it made sense
but he really did just... kind of vanish after I came in earlier lol so it struck me as odd
I'm playing magic leave me alone
:stare:
i cant do anything else lol, dont know how you can at this stage of a game :P
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 00:53
i think if sunbae is a wolf this is the play he had to make
he had to either get me dead (unlikely?) or look like the perfect villager to try and offset the fact he tunneled insom
ya like I said, either way it would look grim for him
even if you died today and flipped villa I got the sense that insom trusted me a bit more than he did sunbae earlier at least
so he'd just have to pray for it
idk
ya, I didn't pay much attention to it till recently because I kind of noticed me and sunbae were not really well matched in terms of activity patterns so I figured it made sense
but he really did just... kind of vanish after I came in earlier lol so it struck me as odd
the problem with this f4 is its really all about outwolfing the wolf
lol
i think sunbae as a wolf would know its easy enough to get me onto eph
its why i was so reliant on waiting for you cause i wanted to see something from you i could latch onto and say yes eph is actually a villager
and i just cant seem to find it man, im sorry.
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 00:54
ya it's all good dw
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 00:54
in a shocking turn of events
Vote: Sunbae
may whatever god is out there be with you tonight insom
lmao
3 Ephemeral (Sunbae, Visor, insomnia)
1 Sunbae (Ephemeral)
Day 3 ends in thunderously calm
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 00:58
for the record i feel like i should clarify
my issue isn't with sunbae simply being quiet whenever I was around
it's more like, I figure a villager at this stage would care about interacting with the others and finding the other villager
and on that level nl checked the boxes
sunbae on the other hand only really focused on casing himself/me and getting the other 2 on board
which from my perspective looks way off
hope that's not an unfair read to make given that we haven't matched activity wise that well
glgl insom
yes yes, this day was always ending in a 3-1 vote for me from start of day and it was clear to literally everyone. i dont know why we did the song and dance about it but we did
god is this the eph last minute redemption arc
sorry eph, but i dont think i want to send this to a tie.
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 01:00
is all good
i got what I wanted to get out there
I hope at least lol
godspeed
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 01:00
also he did just reappear when I started turning on him
!!!!!
smh:stare:
fuck it
figners crossed insom
https://i.imgur.com/YruSFOa.png
:skull: 2 Ephemeral (Sunbae, insomnia)
2 Sunbae (Ephemeral, Visor)
Ephemeral was eliminated.
They were Sufjan Stevens, vanilla town!
https://i.imgur.com/ohFjDYJ.jpeg
Night actions for night 3 are due in [ended early]
Alive: 3/10
insomnia
Sunbae
Visor
Dead:
Totally not Taffy - d1, vt
dyachei - n1, vt
Lantana - n1, mafia
Mischief - d2, vt
EnderWiggin - n2, vt
Raskolnikov - n2, vt
Ephemeral - d3, vt
insomnia was killed! He was:
Sufjan Stevens, town vig!
https://i.imgur.com/2cdKGr7.png?1
Sunbae was killed! He was:
NOT Sufjan Stevens, but Sujan Stevens - baggage handler!
https://i.imgur.com/adQgKbp.png?2
Town wins!
DVC: https://discord.gg/9PP8qStT
wolfchat: https://discord.gg/sBgWTr77
thanks for playing everyone :bow:
As I said in wolf chat after rask died:
you would think that after 6 years id stop having games where i play well in thread and just get boxed out because i cant find the prs LMAO
"wow game seems hard" -> "well at least the wolves cant find the pr" -> "oh lmao it was sunbae again"
a tale as old as time
:shame:
fun game though, super laid back and chill. thanks for it zack! gg all
I didn't expect ephem or insom to be around at eod so i wrote up a :00 post to switch to visor, opened up an mtgo draft, clicked back over to see ephem talking about me not being around and switching and was like wtfffff lmao
Gg all wp
Thanks for hosting Zack
Again, apologies for punting at nearly every opportunity lol
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 23:37
I didn't expect ephem or insom to be around at eod so i wrote up a :00 post to switch to visor, opened up an mtgo draft, clicked back over to see ephem talking about me not being around and switching and was like wtfffff lmao
i definitely shouldn't have been around to be fair
but i basically had to after slacking off as much as I did already lol
Ephemeral
05-27-2022, 23:39
ggs was fun despite the limited time i had available to chat
saw some new and cool faces around too, always a pleasure
:bow:
insomnia
05-28-2022, 09:06
gg pleasure to play with the org crew
Totally not Taffy
05-28-2022, 19:22
GGWP all and thank you Zack <3
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