How do you know that? Only according to his test data we can't know that, actually for lethality he said that he got different restults for other battle configurations. I don't know how different though.
No. You start simple and complicate things from there to refine them. That's why they most likely landed on 3 and 0.5, not 2.98 and Heaven knows what other fancy numbers.
Agreed. If phalanx-man was conclusive, the real numbers would be 3 and 0.5, but we don't know if they used a linear model at all. As far as I can see without real testing, to use a linear model for this data is okay. What we can be sure of is that f(0)>0, so lethality obviously isn't the chance itself.
Still I'm not sure about the validity of the data itself. If I have the time, I'll try to re-model the system with some hypothesis and see if it fits with the inductional "models" there. Do we know (or at least have a good assumption) if the actual animations are directly relevant? Is one solider attacking another soldiers the real mechanic or ar the real mechanics only unit based?
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