Quote Originally Posted by Lemur View Post
They're on measure, no more, no less. The most interesting stuff happens when people with a deep understanding of statistical math combine the polls with other interesting things like voter turnout historical maps and regression analysis. You know, Nate Silver's bag.

But do I take any particular poll or aggregate of polls as predictive of an election months away? Of course not. What the stasis in the polls indicates to me is that the scandals and oopsies and storis of the day aren't getting any traction—right now. The vast majority of people just aren't paying attention yet.
You miss understood me, and I wasn't all that clear.

I mentioned the lower approval rating amongst black voters. You mentioned the overall unchanging waters of the election polls. I thought perhaps you were suggesting that the lower approval ratings amongst blacks was irrelevant and not a good indication of eventual turnout, and I was agreeing with you.

Basically, don't mix opinion polls w/ issue polls with how-will-u-vote polls and think they are interchangable.

And aside from all this,
I was just wanting to make a funny
By pointing out that there were black voters who didn't approve of The Man
And henceforth were racist

I failed