Quote Originally Posted by Sasaki Kojiro View Post
I'm not sure why republicans think the turnout will look like 2010. Young people often skip the 'in between' elections. Many people only get interested for the presidential.

My favorite theory is that the Amish will turnout big and swing ohio and pennsylvania. Polls don't factor them in--they don't have telephones!
Obama isn't riding a wave of hope and change this time either, so it's not rational to expect a Democrat turnout like 2008. It's going to be somewhere in between- the question, of course, is where? I'm just thrilled that my state, Pennsylvania, is marginally in play this time. It makes me feel as though my vote actually matters....

Quote Originally Posted by a completely inoffensive name
I agree with you. Obama would need to take all the contested states to get over 330. That being said, the most probable scenario (at 20%) is Obama sweeping every swing state. Given Nate's track of 99% accuracy in the past, I would say to keep your mind open for anything.
I'm 99% sure he's not 99% accurate.