The Final US Election Thread

[ICantSpellDawg]

The Florida primary



Giuliani has a shot, but I don't believe the odds favor him. He peaded in October of 2001 and has traded on it for too long. He isn't a conservative at a time when his party is likely to swing back in that direction and there are too many other actual liberals New Yorkers can vote for. The GOP will have to write off everything North of the Delaware for 6+ years -- I don't think Rudy will buck that trend.

I don't think so.

The Florida primary is not a reasonable gauge. It was closed primary for one, so only registered Republicans could vote. Republicans in Florida tend to be socially Conservative.

I never understood why Giuliani thought that he would do well there in the Primaries - the general maybe, but the primaries? Against Conservative Republicans?

NY is very different. We all like Giuliani. He is a Regional politician and is very good at it. Conservative Republicans WILL vote for Rudy and so will independents. Many Democrats will as well, especially against a no name. He doesn't infuriate anyone and most people like him.

He was chronically overestimated in the primaries and now people are going to chronically underestimate him in NY politics