This is time you could be using to point fingers at the scum.
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This is time you could be using to point fingers at the scum.
@Cuthillius
Your average for the first 7 days is about 22 posts per day. Then you were really active on the 25th, and your activity has been dropping like a rock ever since.Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Activity tends to go up as we have more information and claims and vote history. Why is yours going downward?
Dp's activity looks more standard. Also about 22 per day, but did 27 yesterday and 4 more today.
Monty at 12 per day before the 23rd, goes up and down, usually more active since then. Very active on the 23rd.
Need to check and see what was happening on those days that got spikes in activity.
OK, I can't get any solid groupings out of this. It's almost certain one or more scum is outside of my naughty list, but only atheotes and novice are worth looking at by default given what's available (too strong on DP and Riedquat, almost nothing on JHT and Al Sip), and if I'm to default then it should be on Winston or Cuthilius. GH and Pizza can have tonight to 'work their magic'. Should tell us a few things, if GH agrees to jailkeep Pizza, and Pizza agrees to track GH. If Pizza himself is town, then he should give an honest account:
If GH keeps him, then he should admit no result.
If GH keeps someone else, then regardless of GH's alignment so long as Pizza is town he will tell us whom GH visits.
Admittedly, this gives us no information if they are both scum, but that's too much for me ATM. Also, it technically does not tell us that GH is town if Pizza is indicated town. Assume neither is third-party for simplicity.
A visualization:
GH keeps Pizza GH keeps someone else Town P/Town G Pizza reports blocked Pizza reports GH's activity Town P/Scum G Pizza reports blocked Pizza reports GH activity (risky for GH) Scum P/Town G Pizza wildcard Pizza wildcard Scum P/Scum G Yeah right God help us
Why wouldn't scum Pizza follow the behavior of town Pizza as listed above? Because that would be too reactive and low-reward. Scum Pizza would claim something sure to drive the lynch, such as 'X night-killed Y. Thankfully, there's also a third element in Riedquat to scan GH, even if weakly.
OK, never mind, it doesn't work.
Vote: Winston
I strongly recommend GH and Pizza follow this plan.
Probably I was leading in the lynch.Quote:
Monty at 12 per day before the 23rd, goes up and down, usually more active since then. Very active on the 23rd.
WH at 11 per day average total, but has very regular spikes in activity over and over, then absent. The spikes are at 34, 24, and 17, which is downward, yet still much more than the 9 per day average he started with. I also think all of this activity is above his baseline.
I forgot to delete this sentence after I figured out the dynamic, disregard it.Quote:
OK, never mind, it doesn't work.
I saw a lot of talking and a vote for Winston, and the two weren't related. What's your reasoning on Winston?
novice activity irregular, but activity now matches activity toward the beginning of the game.
Day 3 activities. What do you think?
<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <o:OfficeDocumentSettings> <o:AllowPNG/> </o:OfficeDocumentSettings> </xml><![endif]--> Murska
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Activity spike 25/26/27th related to the stork/gh/pizza lynch decision, voted me while pushing GH.<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <w:WordDocument> <w:View>Normal</w:View> <w:Zoom>0</w:Zoom> <w:TrackMoves/> <w:TrackFormatting/> <w:PunctuationKerning/> <w:ValidateAgainstSchemas/> <w:SaveIfXMLInvalid>false</w:SaveIfXMLInvalid> <w:IgnoreMixedContent>false</w:IgnoreMixedContent> <w:AlwaysShowPlaceholderText>false</w:AlwaysShowPlaceholderText> <w:DoNotPromoteQF/> <w:LidThemeOther>EN-US</w:LidThemeOther> <w:LidThemeAsian>X-NONE</w:LidThemeAsian> <w:LidThemeComplexScript>X-NONE</w:LidThemeComplexScript> <w:Compatibility> <w:BreakWrappedTables/> <w:SnapToGridInCell/> <w:WrapTextWithPunct/> <w:UseAsianBreakRules/> <w:DontGrowAutofit/> <w:SplitPgBreakAndParaMark/> <w:EnableOpenTypeKerning/> <w:DontFlipMirrorIndents/> <w:OverrideTableStyleHps/> </w:Compatibility> <m:mathPr> <m:mathFont m:val="Cambria Math"/> <m:brkBin m:val="before"/> <m:brkBinSub m:val="--"/> <m:smallFrac m:val="off"/> <m:dispDef/> 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Ok wow.
I couldn't find anything resembling a coherent sentence about Winston from Monty, but you did mention him as scum repeatedly.
Not only that, I've found like four other people who insist Winston is scum, and absolutely nothing has happened on that front.
Everyone keeps saying it, no one actually does anything about it. And that's fucking weird.
I think Winston is town. Surely my lone (?) opinion on that isn't actually stopping anyone, especially if I'm so frigging shady that I've been wagoned for the past 2 straight days for no reason at all, by the way.
My first thought was that the Choxorn hint was maybe too minor to be counted as a breadcrumb, but Newyn's breadcrumb is pretty definitive and he's the confirmed townie. So I believe it.
Which makes me trust GH's claim less, since there are so many claimed and confirmed town power roles.
I'll be following the thread for the next four hours.
Assuming Choxorn is town and correcting Stork's color:
6 spaceman98 (Visor, Cuthillius, Montmorency, GeneralHankerchief, CrimsonFox, El Barto)
4 BSmith (spaceman98, Dp101, seireikhaan, Al Sipsclar)
4 CrimsonFox (BSmith, Pelican, atheotes, Choxorn)
4 El Barto (Riedquat, Newyn, Winston Hughes, Stork)
2 Cuthillius (Askthepizzaguy, Murska)
1 GeneralHankerchief (novice)
1 Winston Hughes (johnhughthom)
1 Not Voting: El Barto
End of Day one
--------------------------------------
6 BSmith (novice, Stork, Generalhankerchief, Cuthillius, Dp101, Askthepizzaguy)
3 novice (Visor, atheotes, BSmith)
2 Riedquat (Montmorency, Winston Hughes)
1 Choxorn (Al Sipsclar)
1 CrimsonFox (khaan)
1 Montmorency (Pelican)
1 seireikhaan (CrimsonFox)
1 Visor (Murska)
1 Winston Hughes (johnhughthom)
3 Not Voting: Choxorn, Newyn, Riedquat
End of Day Two.
----------------------------------------------
9 Stork (novice, cuthillius, dp101, Winston, johnhughthom, Askthepizzaguy, choxorn, Newyn, al sipsclar)
5 Askthepizzaguy (montmorency, pelican, riedquat, murska, Stork)
2 novice (atheotes, generalhankerchief)
End of Day Three.
I have been calling Winston outright scum since page 53/post 1776 or whatever.
Yeah and the problem is I don't understand what you're seeing.
Saying it repeatedly but not being able to articulate what the problem is doesn't change minds or make your point known. That plus your constant screaming that I'm scum has made it impossible to take you seriously.
How is Winston scum in plain english that I can follow?
He did X and that was scummy Y format.
As I said, the exercise is only revealing in regards to Pizza. But that's the gamble I'm willing to take, and anyway Riedquat potentially provides some assurance on GH.Quote:
Originally Posted by novice
He has a habit of scum-reading townies, lynching townies, and focusing attention on townies. Visor, Stork (you heard me), Riedquat (:sad:), DP101, Crimson, you name it.Quote:
Originally Posted by Pizza
Tilting at Crimson, then pocketing Crimson once the worm had turnedQuote:
Originally Posted by Winston Hughes
Sleazing up toward Cuth as soon as Cuth said Winston was being towny; see also Stork wagon.Quote:
Hi Crimson. You want me to look at anything?
Quote:
I've been prepping myself for that kind of scumgame for a while.
But I just keep randing town.
Aggressive D1 here, meta as lurker when vanilla.Quote:
Got to be playing on hard mode.
So you're suggesting he just really loves being scum and that's what lit a fire under his ass.
Speak for yourself!
Not really, I'm saying the circular reasoning has enough external validation to warrant a lynch.
Will you consolidate with me on suspects we agree on if your wagon on winston goes nowhere?
The scums aren't going to have this much difficulty working together on stuff they purport to agree on.
@novice
Which names would you lynch today? When you're done with your rainbow post.
I'm more interested in seeing you work in tandem with GH.
I'm fiddling with my browser plugin, this post is for the benefit of that plugin.
Player list:
- Al Sipsclar alias Al alias Sipsclar alias Sips
- Askthepizzaguy alias ATPG alias Pizza
- atheotes
- Choxorn alias chox
- Cuthillius alias cuth
- Dp101 alias dp
- GeneralHankerchief alias gh alias general alias hanky
- johnhughthom alias john alias jht
- Montmorency alias monty
- Murska
- novice
- Pelican
- Riedquat alias kumquat alias reinquat alias reidquat alias quat
- Winston Hughes alias winston alias wh
- spaceman98 alias spaceman
- BSmith
- Stork
- El Barto alias Bart
- Visor
- seireikhaan alias Khaan alias Khan
- CrimsonFox alias Crimson alias Fox alias CF
- Newyn
4 dead town PRs
Choxorn - Mason - looks true.
Pizza - tracker - should resolve itself. Lets see if he can get a track result tonight.
GH - Jailkeeper - doubtful
Winston - softclaimed something - ???
Quat - neutral
We have other PRs. I am assuming the Crimson kill was a one time shot by non town.
I dont believe GH's claim. mainly based on progression to the claim. I also dont like his refusal to speak about his actions. So my vote stays there.
I will try to read up on the dead PRs to see if there were any hints.
Tally as of post 2039:
Lynch votes
3 votes: GeneralHankerchief (atheotes, Murska, novice)
3 votes: novice (Cuthillius, Choxorn, Askthepizzaguy)
1 votes: Askthepizzaguy (Pelican)
1 votes: Winston Hughes (Montmorency)
Voting history:Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Day 1 tally, as of post 429:
Lynch votes
6 votes: spaceman98 (Visor, Cuthillius, Montmorency, GeneralHankerchief, CrimsonFox, El Barto)
4 votes: El Barto (Riedquat, Newyn, Winston Hughes, Stork)
4 votes: BSmith (spaceman98, Dp101, seireikhaan, Al Sipsclar)
3 votes: CrimsonFox (BSmith, atheotes, Choxorn)
1 votes: Winston Hughes (johnhughthom)
1 votes: GeneralHankerchief (novice)
1 votes: Cuthilius (Askthepizzaguy)
1 votes: Cuthillion (Murska)
1 votes: Crimso Fox (Pelican)
Voting history:Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Day 2 tally, as of post 1210:
Lynch votes
6 votes: BSmith (novice, Stork, GeneralHankerchief, Cuthillius, Dp101, Askthepizzaguy)
2 votes: novice (Visor, atheotes)
2 votes: Riedquat (Montmorency, Winston Hughes)
1 votes: CrimsonFox (seireikhaan)
1 votes: Choxorn (Al Sipsclar)
1 votes: Montmorency (Pelican)
1 votes: Winston Hughes (johnhughthom)
1 votes: seireikhaan (CrimsonFox)
1 votes: Visor (Murska)
1 votes: BSmith! (BSmith)
Voting history:Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
Day 3 tally, as of post 1753:
Lynch votes
9 votes: Stork (novice, Cuthillius, Dp101, Winston Hughes, johnhughthom, Askthepizzaguy, Choxorn, Newyn, Al Sipsclar)
5 votes: Askthepizzaguy (Montmorency, Pelican, Riedquat, Murska, Stork)
2 votes: Novice (atheotes, GeneralHankerchief)
1 votes: General: Handkerchief (CrimsonFox)
Voting history:Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
If anybody wants to autogenerate tallies such as the ones above, you can install my chrome plugin.
First, install TamperMonkey, next, click this link to install the plugin:
https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/...%20v12.user.js
That version works for this forum.
Usage of the plugin is described here:
http://www.realmsbeyond.net/forums/s...d.php?tid=6349
In addition to posting tallies, you also see the current tally as a tooltip in the header of every single post, so that you can see what the tally was when that post was made.
The plugin can also be used to do ISOs or to isolate a set of posters.
ISOing is smoothest when displaying many posts per page, the maximum on this forum is 80, you adjust that here:
https://forums.totalwar.org/vb/profi...do=editoptions
My lynch preferences:
GeneralHankerchief
johnhughthom
Al Sipsclar
Montmorency
Not really willing to lynch, but continuing the list:
Cuthillius
Pelican
Dp101
Riedquat
Askthepizzaguy
Murska
Winston Hughes
atheotes
Choxorn
novice
I ISO'ed Al Sipsclar, didn't take long. His only post of substance is this one:
He has a towny tone but has only voted for confirmed townies, Choxorn, and Stork.
The line "I was ready to vote El Barto today, so I do think he's a lynchbait and would be an unorthodox kill choice for mafia." is a bit cheeky if mafia. He didn't go anywhere N2 (?) according to Pizza. But he stays on my "willing to lynch" list.
Novice, you going to claim? Or did I miss you doing that.
Sounds to me like Riedquat's scan can indeed nail GH. And Riedquat has a personal interest in scanning robots, IIUC. So I may be willing to postpone a GH lynch. OTOH scum can just block Riedquat.
What are you saying here?
So you think Pizza and GH are scum together after all?
I wanted to say something more but it's slipped my mind.
JohnHughThom, I sympathize with your mission statement on enjoying the game and not polluting the thread, but I think at this point you should be able to provide some commentary. Or do you disagree, has everything needing to be said been said?
This seems like a useful feature on this forum, if I can get it to work: @johnhughthom, question for you in the previous post.
My activity always varies depending on how many people are in the thread and how much there is to discuss. I revert to MU-type posting when the thread is alive and people are posting, and more to GitP-type meta when it's not. It hasn't really been very invigoratingly active of late.
novice, do you really think hankerchief's mason claim is a lie? why?
murska thoughts on the gamestate?
Later. Busy now.
Official Tally
3 GeneralHankerchief (atheotes, Murska, novice)
3 novice (Cuth, Choxorn, ATPG)
1 Askthepizzaguy (Pelican)
1 Winston Hughes (Monty)
---
4 Not Voting: @Dp101, @GeneralHankerchief, @Riedquat, @Winston Hughes
2 Not Posting: @Al Sipsclar, @johnhughthom
---
Voting ends in:
Dp101, have you actually made any cases in this game? I kind of want to lynch you despite your eminent ability to look town.
Right. Well, I accept Pizza's claim for now. I still want to lynch GH, his claim is iffy, his lack of claimed actions is also terrible.
If GH doesn't claim actions I will lynch him.
Fine Vote: GeneralHankerchief
It would be helpful to me if the people voting for GH for "pressure to reveal" reasons would do me the favor of continuing to talk about alternative candidates, as if GH had just claimed all his actions and you believe that makes him town.
Not for funsies, but so that if a decision is made (after I go to bed, mind you) not to lynch GH, it isn't a giant cluster, because alternatives have already been discussed.
Right now I wouldn't mind a lurker lynch, or maybe Monty.
Look, you aren't getting me to pressure-claim actions. That's just something that isn't going to happen.
Rationally and reasonably argue how me disclosing my actions benefits the town, and we'll start talking.
If you reveal your actions and the reasoning behind them we can see how they fit with your actions in the thread, to get a better read on you.
I don't see much downside in scum learning townyou's actions. Maaybe they have failed actions requiring explanation, such as a failed kill that could be caused by you or by e.g. a bulletproof townie, but they can probably guess anyway. Town can't. At any rate the benefits outweigh the disadvantages.
By not claiming you're also denying town power roles the opportunity to catch you in a lie.
test
Spoiler Alert, click show to read: