
Originally Posted by
Earthling
I think it has to be Vote: Zack. There are reasons to that, but let's see how the wagon rolls.
Starts a vote on Zack, who was up high on the vote tally on the first day.

Originally Posted by
Earthling
He's dead.
Given the setup we seem to be hurting no matter what. I'll ask this: Diamondeye, would you agree you shouldn't have posted what you posted at the start of the day unless you're a vanilla townie, or a mafia and Zack is not mafia? Do you see the reasoning there, or do we need to wait for more people to comment and vote.
Diamondeye posted this:
Ouch! So far, we've seen DBT of the setup, and it looks like there might be at least one Vigilante, too. The setup allows for only one mafia kill and one SK, as far as I understand.
For now, I am going to Vote:Zack.
I can't for the life of me figure out what was wrong with this. He's completely right. But he follows Earthlings vote.

Originally Posted by
Earthling
This also goes for anyone asking what they're missing on figuring out the game setup.
Before I go on, Diamondeye still doesn't make sense to me but he did remind me of one thing I'd missed, a serial killer would be kill immune as in the setup and doesn't fear death at night by mafia/vig, only the lynch, so anyone could be a serial killer and be more aggressive in thread, particularly if they felt the town needed to be rallied to beat the mafia. I don't get his votes but recognize I was withholding points earlier until more people showed up so his response to me is ok, so long as we lynch a mafia today.
On the setup/strategy, here's simply what we know:
With the number of town roles already, the setup would have three mafia.
Three kills last night as far as I can also tell means either mafia, town vig, and SK, or mafia and two vigs. I think two vigs (or vig +1-shot vig) is much less likely, if it's true that means we're just better off and can get lucky even though they failed last night.
There's always the very small chance there are still more town roles, than the Doctor, Blocker, Mason/Child, and Vig we already have, in which case we move further down the setup possibilities, but still 3 mafia and probably still an SK, and too remote a chance to think about.
So 3 Mafia + 1 SK is worst case for the town but also most likely, I think we have to work with that.
Then Cahoma is confirmed Innocent. Any townie knows what they are obviously. That just leaves 6 people so very, very good odds that anybody you could lynch just turns up as a scum. That alone is all that's needed for a wagon on Zack, or you TLD, really, but Zack is the default to me because he got saved from the lynch yesterday and a townie was lynched, so why not guess some of those voters were mafia.
The real question is what happens tonight. Could be 2 or 3 kills, if people target the same victims then fewer, or if someone targets the SK he doesn't die. But what we want for the town is 2 mafia dead before the next day or they're too close to controlling the lynch. 1 mafia, the SK, 3 townies for 5 remaining is still a chance (for everyone, really, but at least town is still in it). That's what we want, hopefully the SK sees the need for at least one mafia to die too because they could straight outvote him too.
Posts some decent logic. No problems yet.

Originally Posted by
Earthling
Diamondeye why did you say there's a cop?
If it's DDMVB then that matches the two T setup - with 3 mafia and an SK.
If you know for sure there's a cop role, then there are yet more roles out there, or it just means Zack is lying about being backup doctor.
For all we know he could be. He could be lying about being roleblocked so that Cahoma, Mr Innocent, died. Oh well, it could happen to anyone, right?

Originally Posted by
Earthling
Right, so to reiterate my position is that really needs answering from Diamondeye. If we can be sure there are no other town roles (well, still the vig and Cahoma is Mason-Child) then Zack's claim makes sense. If people are sure there is a cop, then I would guess Zack has a false claim. Just about anybody else could still be scum by the numbers again so I would be ok switching to Visorslash when this is resolved, he was way too quiet and bandwagonny looking at his posts.
Now he stops going after Zack, and onto me. Because of two reasons, quietness and bandwagoning. Not only is the quietness reason hypocritical, as there are people quieter (B_Ray for example), it is not a reason at all. Bandwagoning which again, others did and I only did once.

Originally Posted by
Earthling
No, he listed a cop in the post above but as you and Winston pointed out it didn't really make sense, what he was saying with too many T's in the setup. He could just be trying to confuse us, like how he didn't vote for Zack yesterday but started off on Zack today of his own accord. But if he's mafia I doubt that both the wagons on Zack and Visorslash are safe for him so I don't get that either.
Of course I would be trigger-happy to mark Diamondeye down as the serial killer after all but that's a bit biased.
In and of itself Zack's claim makes sense - backup doctor makes DDMVB and matches the scum that seem to be out there. Still have 3 mafia and an SK though.
I probably should
unvote: Zack for now.
And of course, being the "doctor" Zack won't be targeted tonight by the vig.

Originally Posted by
Earthling
Visorslash, I don't think you are being honest in not getting that almost everyone left is something, and I doubt you're going to be the town vig.
Zack claiming backup doctor is very bold and clever as scum but it works by the setup if he is town, and then we just have our 3 mafia and SK so pretty much any lynch works.
vote: Visorslash
Some lies here. I
never said anything about not getting that almost everyone left is something. I said it was possible that he fake claimed doctor. That's it. Dunno how you got confusion about the setup from that.
Says I'm probably not the town vig. Gives
zero reasoning towards it and everyone swallows it. Gives Zack a get out of lynch free card, and continues to defend him.

Originally Posted by
Earthling
Oh dear Winston. Is Visorslash your mafia roleblocker? That would definitely be the best we could get for the town, as it prevents them from blocking the vig or SK at night.
SK can't be blocked m'dear. So certain that Winston is mafia and I'm part of the team with him. Winston ends up being the Serial Killer. How did you come to the conclusion that I am a mafia roleblocker?

Because you know that you are?

Originally Posted by
Earthling
If we lynch you and you are the SK the town probably does lose, I'll give you that. It would be entirely on the mafia to make a mistake because they could block or kill the vig, and we can't count on them to fail.
unvote: Visorslash; vote: Winston Hughes
That takes care of the problem if you really are just mafia partners and you're bluffing - he might be saving you when you're a more important mafia role but we'd still get one.
As an aside, Zack should protect Cahoma regardless of what happens here or what anyone else claims - no guarantee we can protect the town vig. Know he'd be in the doctor-WIFOM situation but still the call that has to be made, Cahoma surviving for the lynch tomorrow or at the end would greatly increase our chances of victory.
I was bluffing alright. If you were so sure that Winston was mafia over me, why didn't you go for him first? Or was the bandwagon on me too easy to ignore? I like how you attacked my "bandwagoning", but then you did it yourself. Brilliant. Of course Zack must protect Cahoma. That's so likely to happen. What a coincidence that Zack failed to protect Cahoma, and was roleblocked.

Originally Posted by
Earthling
Visorslash, if you're really an SK, what do you think about Diamondeye's "lynch-anyone-but-me" phenotype? Is he your call for the town vig, or otherwise you must think he's one of the scum right?
I actually like that tally for information purposes. However:
People (town, really) need to be extremely careful about moving their votes to where someone could be lynched with a 5/8 majority. The three mafia could still coordinate their votes and just switch and get that, especially to get someone like Visorslash if he really is the SK, and taking him down just lets the mafia beat the town. If you're sure it's the right lynch, of course we need to do that before deadline, but just for the sake of temporary pressure that's a no. I hadn't quite realized how risky we were before, earlier in the day, it's possible only lack of mafia attention/coordination saved us.
It is really interesting that we had 4 votes on Zack at one point yet no one jumped to the majority for an auto-lynch - some mafia might have already been on that wagon and couldn't rally though. Diamondeye jumping off there really surprises me, you did too Visor, and I get why the SK would do it but you can't both be the SK.
Of course acting as a serial killer, I can't care about the situation. I just post neutral responses. He could always be a basic townie. Maybe you didn't want to go for the 5/8 majority as you thought it'd look too scummy? I don't think it's a lack of coordination, I think you're screwing us over.

Originally Posted by
Earthling
I can't believe Winston is the town vig. I still kinda think you are just mafia partners and claimed SK, but if that's true the town gets a mafia anyway, and if you are the SK Winston could still be mafia.
Zack is looking more like a townie and between TLD and Diamondeye I'd be willing to believe one is town. I gotta say I am baffled by who is working together, because the three scum should be working together, but they didn't manage anything like voting in quick succession to just get the majoriy lynch. Then B_Ray could easily be the third scum to any combination of people but that's a hard lynch to get people going for now plus all he did was that one silly vote on Cahoma and I'd rather go on a better hypothesis.
So I'd say Winston, and again, it's insurance against the chance that you are scum together so you can't bluff your way out (but if you are an SK, you lose nothing by just lynching someone else)
Maybe because you're the scumbag. Set up a trap on Zack for the next person to follow. I.E. me.

Originally Posted by
Earthling
I'm here, and I'll vote: Visorslash. Visorslash is clearly mafia, and that gives us three townies to the one mafia left so we should get it anyway. I think it's him and B_Ray, rather than Diamondeye who I'll give benefit of the doubt, can't be entirely sure but that's what I'd go with.
This is kinda hilarious though, that Cahoma was actually killed. Mafia, y u so bad?
They could have roleblocked or killed the town vig, as they had only like, two people to choose from, but they must have blocked Zack to be able to kill Cahoma.
Pretty much everything you said does seem right to me Zack, including the DDMVB which is pretty certain now, this was a fun if bloody setup with so many killers.
I'm sure they did.

Originally Posted by
Earthling
And you're claiming you are what now...?

Didn't claim a thing.

Originally Posted by
Earthling
Well, you are just a mafia, but Zack is right about all the remaining roles, the game setup has to be like that at this point, and with him as backup doctor, me vanilla townie but nothing really prove-able there, and the one town vig left, nothing for you to really claim. And you can't really expect anyone to believe it was a townie move you claimed SK yesterday.
I would put Diamondeye down as the town vig over B_Ray, not just for Diamondeye trying to figure stuff out as a townie and his voting pattern clearly lacking mafia coordination (if, say, he and TLD and B_Ray were the scum why didn't they coordinate better and outright get someone like Zack lynched earlier).
What really has me convinced on Diamondeye, is that it would totally be his style to just kill someone N1 as a town vig, with no knowledge of the game setup yet or waiting to see anything play out. He's down it before and would do it again, and probably did kill either the doctor or roleblocker that first night, but that's what's great about him on the rare occasions he is actually town.


Originally Posted by
Earthling
Because you're not just a townie, due to the game setup where we know what roles are left and knew that really yesterday too. If you were the town vig you would have simply claimed that, obviously a much better way to get out of the town lynching you than claiming serial killer, but you're not.
Plus if you're not mafia, it's the same issue where we wonder why the mafia didn't just bandwagon on you to get the 5/8 lynch majority, and have someone lynched right away. They did get dangerously close with Zack and I'll admit it was risky play by me/anyone else who was town (Winston was SK so he just wanted someone to go, I get that). But I'd put that one down to poor coordination among the mafia dn probably B_Ray failing to get on the Zack bandwagon.
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