I hate posting with phone. Having five thumbs on each hand does not help..
I hate posting with phone. Having five thumbs on each hand does not help..
Ja Mata Tosainu Sama.
Hm, I'm torn tbh. Logic could've had real rl issues and if he can start being more active starting next day that would be good... Chox on the other hand seems to have displayed his commitment to this game and it doesnt look like it'll get better.... Then again my read on Logic is a bit stronger and his lynch would give us max infos after he was talked about so much so I'll stay on Logic me thinks
Hm k. Then we could just lynch him today and save us the trouble going forward? ;) (j/k in case it's requried)
I've also decided to not read up on older games of you guys, just don't have the time/WIM... mostly WIM ^^. I also feel its often better to gain meta by playing ppl than reading up on past games where you already know their alignment going in... not sure on that point though. If I make it to endgame I'll reconsider for the then still living players maybe but certainly not D1 :).
Thanks for looking at Logic, but I think you missed one of my biggest points and didn't look for it.
You saw his posts in another game as town, when he accused people, does he not consistently just say this post is scummy this person is a wolf I think this makes you more townie, his questions if any are more direct and mean what they appear to mean on the surface?
That's a highly highly consistent quality of his town game. He doesn't ask rhetorical questions or questions that undermine people in that manner, he doesn't do passive aggression. He's not highly aggressive but when he does it, it's pointed, and in fact, he does far more aggression (despite how mild it feels) in games than defending himself or anyone else.
And all of that solving is pointed and direct, not passive aggression.
I get how you're arriving at the conclusion that I'm just tunneling because I am, but if I'm tunneling on the right person and you're missing the biggest reason why it's right, I feel like we missed the chance for our minds to arrive at the same place.
I won't ask you to look again, but it was a massive part of what I wanted you to look for and I don't think you were looking for it. You found other stuff and I believe you're town, but I still think you missed the damning stark difference.
#Winstontoostrong
#Montytoostronger
#Winstontoostrong
#Montytoostronger
What Zack has been doing with the early towncred looks worse and worse. I think he's trying to manipulate the town from his lofty perch in most people's town piles, and push bad lynches and defend the correct lynchees, since he won't get punished for it.
Not GH at all, I don't think. Not Barto this early. I feel like he's just vulnerable and a possible get for the scums.
Otherwise we're really in close agreement.
#Winstontoostrong
#Montytoostronger
Slaan easily town, reinoe still easily town too imo.
No bad vibes from Kage or Cuth at all.
Not much from Xiahou but given the lack of pressure on him, and the attention so focused elsewhere, the thread is a field of dreams for a scum to plop themselves in and get a bunch of posts out there so they are not even being considered. It's such a level 1 move.
I don't think Xiahou's lack of posting is something that should be held against him. He's gonna come out and my prediction is he'll end up town when he does. His couple of posts were also nice. Not enough to town read but they were good.
#Winstontoostrong
#Montytoostronger
+1 Monty's good.
By post 919 he's made seriously impressive and game-winning posts if he's scum. He's good but the vibe I should be getting from him is neutral /vaguely townie / vaguely scummish if he's scum. I shouldn't get a strong read off of what he's doing, because in the middle is the best place for him when he's scumming, and it's where he almost invariably ends up, too.
No, Monty's a strong town read here by now. I'm not just impressed by his work, because he's a mega hard worker as scum. The kind of content that he's specifically giving always makes him town, and I've probably never ever said that before about Monty.
#Winstontoostrong
#Montytoostronger
I am sorry I didn't get to this quickly. I might have answered it already, but if not, nudge me.
If I lynch some of your suspects and they turn out to be a wolf, I might still call for you to be lynched. Some of those interactions look bad.
Knowing that, would you still help me lynch them if you think they are a wolf?
Let's say I gave it two shots. Logic being the first to go, choxorn second, or vice-versa. Let's say both flip wolf.
I think that's what is gonna happen. If I list your name in the POE after that, are you still gonna help me lynch them?
I'll give you one more chance to not be lynched if you help me lynch a deep wolf after that, but otherwise I might come knocking on your door.
Also I'll be dead by then if I'm right so someone else is gonna have to hold you to this.
#Winstontoostrong
#Montytoostronger
Vote count:
Pizza (1): Manasi
Zack (1): Xiahou
Logic (6): Pizza, Dp101, Slaan, Choxorn, Kagemusha, Winston Hughes
Reinoe (1): Fredwood
El Barto (1): Csargo
Choxorn (5): Montmorency, Zack, GH, Reinoe, Logic
Xiahou (1): El Barto
Not voting (1): Cuthillius,
With 17 players there are 9 to hammer.
EOD1:
![]()
You and I often disagree on who is being townie or not.
I get why you and most other people have him as town, I did too. That being said, ever since I put him at the top of my town he's been doing his best to capitalize on his town cred and get people to not listen to me and to take control of the thread. I expect that he'll do this, but specifically what he's been doing and how and who, all looks extremely bad if my reads outside of him were correct.
He's deep wolfing extremely well right now, more than he's towning, imo. If I had a vig shot I'd shoot him tonight since he's never gonna be lynched because only me and Monty can even see it.
#Winstontoostrong
#Montytoostronger
50/50
Yeah, you're probably right. But I think this is equally likely as of now. Since he won't die by town lynch I'd have to vig him, that's the only way to tell if I'm right.
If he flips wolf, the wolf team is utterly destroyed. His plan of action is just obvious. It can only be to his benefit if he never dies.
#Winstontoostrong
#Montytoostronger
This is why I try not to go too hard in the paint on D1 as a wolf. If you ever die early when you do, the spew is insane. Gives town a lot of free townies and damns some partners too perhaps.
#Winstontoostrong
#Montytoostronger
My gut says this post is great for Fredwood. Not saying GH is bad, in fact I don't think he is. Just think this is in line with what I've seen from him before. GH began with an attack on his process, so Fredwood is responding on that level. I also am feeling the same frustration with the lolconsensus argument. It's not an argument, it's an omen, and I don't believe in omens. Oh no, people are all voting someone, that must mean something. It doesn't. And it's been like 5 people or 6 people at a time. It's not an enormouswagon. It even got eclipsed by the choxorn voters. No such complaints that everyone thinks it it must be false have occurred. Attacking these arguments without necessarily drawing an alignment conclusion from it feels extremely natural, I don't feel it is passive aggression even if it has a similar-looking shape. It's questioning GH's process and methods in response to GH questioning his.
I feel like this kind of friction is going to happen on a day 1 where everyone has their own methods and ideas and all are struggling to win the debate and get their way. Even when people agree on suspects they begin to bicker on process.
It's like when town is chasing two scums in a mash but they still blow up at each other when the "wrong" one is getting pushed because everyone has to lead and get their way.
A perfect day is rare this early with this many opinions and personalities in the thread. When we see someone getting pushed, and we don't fully agree with the suspect or the methods, we push back. When we can't get our preferred person pushed, we have a lot of pent up energy and we start to look for enemies among those who seem to agree but won't cooperate.
I think there's underlying tension in the thread that is erupting in this post between Fred and GH and I don't think either person is mafia.
Maybe I'm not precisely describing what's happening here, and it might be coupled with other things on my mind, but here it is. My reaction is I think this is town/town and that some of the disputes that will happen here are expected, natural, and even nitpicky.
#Winstontoostrong
#Montytoostronger
Vote:Logic
Also, this isn't what I asked for, but it'll do.
I'm not really concerned with where you put me in your POE, because if I'm lynched I've played the best town game I can under the circumstances. I mean I'm not just going to rollover and die, I'll definitely fight you on that front, but if you choose to lynch me after those two, then that's how it's going to go.
I'm not sure what you're referring to with the interactions bit. I've always responded to accusations btw, just with varying degrees of seriousness regardless of alignment imo. I'm pretty sure you talked somewhere about that.
I pretty much had my big post about Choxorn already, the long story short of it is I don't think he's within his town meta.
Here's the link
"I'm going to die anyway, and therefore have nothing more to do except deliberately annoy Lemur." -Orb, in the chat
"Lemur. Even if he's innocent, he's a pain; so kill him." -Ignoramus
"I'm going to need to collect all of the rants about the guilty lemur, and put them in a pretty box with ponies and pink bows. Then I'm going to sprinkle sparkly magic dust on the box, and kiss it." -Lemur
Mafia: Promoting peace and love since June 2006
Oh right, the Winston part.
Town, probably, don't have a bigger read on him than that right now.
"I'm going to die anyway, and therefore have nothing more to do except deliberately annoy Lemur." -Orb, in the chat
"Lemur. Even if he's innocent, he's a pain; so kill him." -Ignoramus
"I'm going to need to collect all of the rants about the guilty lemur, and put them in a pretty box with ponies and pink bows. Then I'm going to sprinkle sparkly magic dust on the box, and kiss it." -Lemur
Mafia: Promoting peace and love since June 2006
This is true. It's part of why I wanted pressure on you, that the sudden twist against Barto and Manasi seemed like scraping the floor.
But now it's time to wonder what the Choxorn vs Logic means about Manasi and Barto, and the Logic wagon, and everyone else.
I'm assuming Choxorn and Logic aren't both scum. Well, it's possible but with this spread I don't want to actually analyze the whole game. Clearly Choxorn scum makes the whole wagon atp look good (especially when ruling out m/m). On the Logic wagon, these are mostly committed and long-term votes, they came out early and stuck around.
If Choxorn town and Logic scum, that makes 1 or 2 scum certain on the Choxorn wagon, coming out toward EOD. Zack and Reinoe look worst, Reinoe because he inserts himself firmly when he appears, but overall there's not much substance. So it's a good time to latch on to a counterwagon, I suppose.
Winston has been town-lean overall and not afraid to move his vote from time to time, so he is better left until after the flip.
Csargo coming out agreeing to Pizza's schedule, the latest Logic vote.
Barto, Cuth, Xiahou, Manasi, Fredwood, so far off-wagon.
Now quickly, what if both Logic and Choxorn are town? 2 off-wagon scum makes sense in that case, and 1 on the major wagons to make a team of 3 or 4 would be the perfect spread. How people have been pushing each other becomes very important in this case, since scum are most likely well-distributed and lower-activity. Maybe in that case Zack or GH feinted at Barto and Manasi to leave a distancing mark. Leave this for night talk.
I think we should try to set up a tie between Choxorn and Logic and see who manipulates the tie, since scum often get caught this way. Pizza, in the best version of today your Logic case is like your novice case from the end of D1 XCOM, and Tdome around novice is how we got Manasi outed, and the Tdome around Manasi is how we got BSmith outed...
So let's get this tied up into the end stretch
Vitiate Man.
History repeats the old conceits
The glib replies, the same defeats
Spoiler Alert, click show to read:
I can work with this.
I'm being up front with you and I hope if you're town that's helping you see the board better. You don't get town credits from me for either a logic or choxorn flip at this point, but I'd still want you to lynch there.
If you shot Zack and he flipped mafia, you can have infinity town credits tho.
#Winstontoostrong
#Montytoostronger
Vote count:
Pizza (1): Manasi
Zack (1): Xiahou
Logic (7): Pizza, Dp101, Slaan, Choxorn, Kagemusha, Winston Hughes, Csargo
Reinoe (1): Fredwood
Choxorn (5): Montmorency, Zack, GH, Reinoe, Logic
Xiahou (1): El Barto
Not voting (1): Cuthillius,
With 17 players there are 9 to hammer.
EOD1:
![]()
I had a quick comment:
In the choxorn/Logic w/w universe, there is massive confusion benefit to defending one and pushing the other. Use that to bury Zack if he's not mechanically clear by late game and both of them flipped wolf.
If two wolves are under fire, but you hard defend one and push the other and get the other lynched, you steal all the momentum from town at the exact same cost of not winning that particular battle. And if you lose the battle, you still look good later or your partner you never eliminated does.
That's elite wolfing, never ever let anyone get away with it in the W/W universe. Anyone who hard defended one and pushed the other must be critically examined and not reach LYLO.
#Winstontoostrong
#Montytoostronger
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